Opening Line: Packers -6.5
Time: 1 PM EST Saturday December 24, 2016 on FOX
Minnesota Vikings (7-7) vs. Green Bay Packers (8-6)
The wheels have fallen off for the Vikings after a 5-0 start and they have lost seven of their last nine games and are on the outside looking in. They need to win out and get a lot of help top make the post-season. They are coming off an embarrassing blowout loss to the Indianapolis Colts were they only scored six points. Their defense has been solid, but their offense only ranks tied for 25th in ppg and their rushing offense ranks dead last in the league.
After dropping four in a row to fall under .500 the Packers have won four straight and they are in good shape to make the playoffs. They can even win the NFC North since they are one game back of the Detroit Lions, who they face in the season finale and who play the Dallas Cowboys this Monday night. In the first three wins in the current four-game win streak the defense stepped up and in the last game Aaron Rodgers was hero with a long bomb at the end of the game to set up a game-winning field goal.
These teams met in the 2nd game of the season in Minnesota where the Vikings beat the Packers 17-14.
In their last games the Vikings lost to the Indianapolis Colts 34-6 and the Packers beat the Chicago Bears 30-27.
On the season the Vikings are 8-6 ATS with an O/U record of 5-9 and the Packers are 7-6-1 ATS with an O/U record of 8-6.
In the bad loss to the Colts in their last game the Vikings were out-gained 411 yards to 282 yards, they committed three turnovers, and they only had 34 rushing yards. Sam Bradford did pass for 291 yards in the game, but he did not have a TD, had an INT, and was sacked five times. Adrian Peterson is back in the backfield, buy in the Indy loss he only had 22 rushing yards averaging 3.7 yards per carry.
The Packers’ defense gave up 449 yards (354 passing yards) to the Bears in their last game and overall they only rank 24th in the league defending the pass, but a solid 10th in defending the run.
While the Packers did not have a great game on defense in the win over the Bears they did rack up 451 yards of offense and 226 rushing yards. Green Bay needed that long bomb at the end of the game to win even though they forced four turnovers and they had none. Rodgers passed for 252 yards with no TD or INT and RB Ty Montgomery busted out for 162 rushing yards. He has an injured shoulder and is listed as questionable for this game, but with what is on the line he should go.
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Minnesota is led by their defense, but that unit struggled in the loss to the Colts. Overall, the Vikings rank 3rd in the league defending the pass and 18th defending the run.
Minnesota at Green Bay Betting Trends
- The Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games, 7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and in their last 20 road games the Under record is 14-5-1.
- The Packers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in December, and in their last 13 home games the Under record is 10-3.
- The Packers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games against the Vikings.
- In the last 4 games between these teams the total has gone Under every time.
Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers Prediction
We’re going to use the two teams going in a different direction angle. The Vikings after getting out to a 5-0 start are 2-7 since. The Packers started the season out 4-6 before their current four-game win streak. The defense has been creating turnovers registering a excellent plus 11 over the four game stretch. Their passing offense has been good and now they’ve found a running game with Montgomery in the backfield. Minnesota’s offensive struggles will continue helping Green Bay extend the margin.
Take the Green Bay Packers -6.5