Cramton Bowl Preview
Opening Line: Toledo -1
Time: 5:30 PM EST Saturday December 17, 2016
Appalachian State Mountaineers (9-3) vs. Toledo Rockets (9-3)
Appalachian State won eight of their last nine games of the season, including their last two, and they head into the Cramton Bowl as a slight 1-point underdog. They have a strong rushing attack that ranks 13th in the nation in rushing yards per game and their defense is a solid one, which ranks 7th in opponents’ points per game. The Mountaineers were the co-champion of the Sun Belt conference and they will be making their 2nd straight bowl appearance.
Toledo had won three in a row before losing in their last game against Western Michigan, who finished the season undefeated. They have a dynamic offense that ranks 19th in points per game and they are balanced. All three of their losses this season have come against teams that are playing in bowl games.
This is the first ever meetings between these two teams.
This season Appalachian State is 6-6 ATS with an O/U record of 5-7 and Toledo is 7-5 ATS with an O/U record of 5-6-1.
In their last games Appalachian State beat new Mexico State 37-7 and Toledo lost to Western Michigan 55-35.
The Mountaineers are led by the run, as they only rank 104th in the nation in passing yards per game. Jalin Moore had 1,367 rushing yards this season and Marcus Cox rushed for 872 yards. In the last nine games of the season Moore rushed for over 100 yards eight times. While Appalachian State is a run first team QB Taylor Lamb had a solid season and in the last two games he passed for over 200 yards in each game with three TD and no INT.
Toledo ranks 69th in the nation defending the pass and 60th defending the run.
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Toledo is led by QB Logan Woodside and on the season he passed for 3,882 yards with 43 TD and he was picked off nine times. He has a solid WR corps led by Cody Thompson (1,170 yards 10) TD and in the backfield Kareem Hunt rushed for 1,355 yards with eight TD this season. Hunt has rushed for over 100 yards in four straight games and even in the loss in the last game to Western Michigan he rushed for 200 yards and a TD.
Appalachian State will have their hands full on the defensive side of the ball and this season they ranked 29th in the nation against the pass and 23rd against the run.
Appalachian State vs. Toledo Betting Trends
- Appalachian State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points, and they have an Under record of 7-3 in their last 10 non-conference games.
- Toledo is 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games, 19-7-2 ATS in their last 28 games overall, and they have an Under record of 4-1-1 in their last 6 games.
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Toledo Rockets Prediction
Appalachian State started the season off with a bang battling Tennessee into overtime before eventually dropping the game 20-13. The thing is that was their highlight of their season with zero quality wins. Toledo didn’t register any big wins on the season to hang their hat on, but they did play BYU tough falling 55-53. The Rockets other two losses were to Ohio and Western Michigan two of the best clubs in the MAC. The MAC got destroyed in bowls last season against the big boys, but this is against a lower level conference.
Take Toledo -1