Opening Line: Colts -6
Over/Under: 47

Time: 1 PM EST Sunday December 11, 2016 on CBS

Houston Texans (6-6) vs. Indianapolis Colts (6-6)

To say there is a logjam in the AFC South would be a major understatement, as the Texans, Colts, and Tennessee Titans are all tied atop the division at 6-6. The Colts may be the hottest team of that bunch winning three of their last four games. Andrew Luck is back under center and while their defense only ranks 25th in the league in opponents’ points allowed they are coming off a Monday night win over the Jets where they only gave up 10 points.

The Texans have lost three in a row and their offense has struggled, big time, in the last two games only scoring 13 points in each. The defense has been pretty good and the Texans can run the ball, but the passing offense only ranks 28th in the league and the offensive as a whole only ranks 30th in points per game. QB Brock Osweiler has been a disappointment this season and only has one more TD (14) than INT (13).

Earlier this season in Houston the Texans beat the Colts 26-23.

In their last games the Colts beat the New York Jets 41-10 and the Texans lost to the Green Bay Packers 21-13.

On the season the Texans are 5-6-1 ATS with an O/U record of 5-7 and the Colts are 6-5-1 ATS with an O/U record of 8-4.

Houston did not have a bad game on defense in their loss to the Packers where they only gave up 309 yards. Osweiler was decent in the game passing for over 200 yards with two TD and no INT and the rushing offense racked up 123 yards on the ground. Osweiler had been picked off four times in his previous two games and he has to avoid the turnovers in this game. To say there is a logjam in the AFC South would be a major understatement, as the Texans, Colts, and Tennessee Titans are all tied atop the division at 6-6. The Colts may be the hottest team of that bunch winning three of their last four games. Andrew Luck is back under center and while their defense only ranks 25th in the league in opponents’ points allowed they are coming off a Monday night win over the Jets where they only gave up 10 points.

The Texans have lost three in a row and their offense has struggled, big time, in the last two games only scoring 13 points in each. The defense has been pretty good and the Texans can run the ball, but the passing offense only ranks 28th in the league and the offensive as a whole only ranks 30th in points per game. QB Brock Osweiler has been a disappointment this season and only has one more TD (14) than INT (13).

Earlier this season in Houston the Texans beat the Colts 26-23.

In their last games the Colts beat the New York Jets 41-10 and the Texans lost to the Green Bay Packers 21-13.

On the season the Texans are 5-6-1 ATS with an O/U record of 5-7 and the Colts are 6-5-1 ATS with an O/U record of 8-4.

OPEN YOUR NEW BOVADA ACCOUNT USING BITCOIN AND RECEIVE A 100% BONUS! CLICK HERE

Houston did not have a bad game on defense in their loss to the Packers where they only gave up 309 yards. Osweiler was decent in the game passing for over 200 yards with two TD and no INT and the rushing offense racked up 123 yards on the ground. Osweiler had been picked off four times in his previous two games and he has to avoid the turnovers in this game. RB Lamar Miller has rushed for over 900 yards on the season, but has struggled in the last couple of games.

Indianapolis only ranks 28th in the league in pass defense and 20th in run defense. In their earlier loss to the Texans on the road this season they gave up 414 total yards including 158 rushing yards.

In the blowout win over the Jets on Monday night they had 421 yards and their defense held New York to 240 yards. Luck passed for 278 yards with four TD and no INT and Frank Gore rushed for a solid 79 yards averaging four yards per carry.

Houston’s pass defense ranks 5th in the league and that unit will be put to the test facing a healthy Luck. Their run defense ranks 19th in the league.

Houston at Indy Betting Trends

• The Texans are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games, and in their last 8 games after a straight up loss the total has gone Under 6 times.
• The Colts are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win, and in their last 5 home games the total has gone Under 4 times.
• The Colts are 5-1-2 in their last 8 games against the Texans.
• The Colts are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against the Texans.
• In the last 7 games between these teams in Indianapolis the total has gone Under every time.

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts Prediction

RB Lamar Miller has rushed for over 900 yards on the season, but has struggled in the last couple of games.

Indianapolis only ranks 28th in the league in pass defense and 20th in run defense. In their earlier loss to the Texans on the road this season they gave up 414 total yards including 158 rushing yards.

In the blowout win over the Jets on Monday night they had 421 yards and their defense held New York to 240 yards. Luck passed for 278 yards with four TD and no INT and Frank Gore rushed for a solid 79 yards averaging four yards per carry.

Houston’s pass defense ranks 5th in the league and that unit will be put to the test facing a healthy Luck. Their run defense ranks 19th in the league.

Houston at Indy Betting Trends

• The Texans are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games, and in their last 8 games after a straight up loss the total has gone Under 6 times.
• The Colts are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win, and in their last 5 home games the total has gone Under 4 times.
• The Colts are 5-1-2 in their last 8 games against the Texans.
• The Colts are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against the Texans.
• In the last 7 games between these teams in Indianapolis the total has gone Under every time.

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts Prediction

RB Lamar Miller has rushed for over 900 yards on the season, but has struggled in the last couple of games.

Indianapolis only ranks 28th in the league in pass defense and 20th in run defense. In their earlier loss to the Texans on the road this season they gave up 414 total yards including 158 rushing yards.

In the blowout win over the Jets on Monday night they had 421 yards and their defense held New York to 240 yards. Luck passed for 278 yards with four TD and no INT and Frank Gore rushed for a solid 79 yards averaging four yards per carry.

Houston’s pass defense ranks 5th in the league and that unit will be put to the test facing a healthy Luck. Their run defense ranks 19th in the league.

Houston at Indy Betting Trends

• The Texans are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games, and in their last 8 games after a straight up loss the total has gone Under 6 times.
• The Colts are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win, and in their last 5 home games the total has gone Under 4 times.
• The Colts are 5-1-2 in their last 8 games against the Texans.
• The Colts are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against the Texans.
• In the last 7 games between these teams in Indianapolis the total has gone Under every time.

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts Prediction

The Texans have lost three straight but they were in every game losing all three by one score, so it’s not like they’ve been embarrassed. They won the earlier contest against the Colts back in Houston 26-23 running for 158 yards on 5.6 yards per carry. There is no reason to think that they can’t do that again this week. Remember defense and the running travel well and while Houston hasn’t been a road warrior this season, the many of their away games were against above average defenses. The Colts are a nice little run winners of three of their last four and while I do think that they will come away as the victors, I think this game gets decided by a field goal.

Take the Texans +6