Opening Line: Cowboys -3
Time: 8:30 PM EST Sunday December 11, 2016 on NBC
Dallas Cowboys (11-1) vs. New York Giants (8-4)
The 11-1 Cowboys became the first team to qualify for the playoffs and they can wrap up the NFC East with a win in this game. They have reeled off 11 straight wins since losing their first game of the season at home to the Giants. Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliot, who leads the NFL in rushing yards, are having great rookie seasons, the defense ranks 4th in the league in opponents’ points allowed, and Dallas has the best offensive line in football. However, they looked beatable in their last game, which was only a 2-point win over the Vikings.
The Giants had their six-game win streak snapped in their last game, but they are still in the driver’s season for a NFC Wild Card. This game may show if they Giants are a legit playoff team. In their six-game win streak they only beat one team that currently has a winning record in the 7-5 Ravens. Eli Manning has played well, the defense ranks a solid 8th in opponents’ points allowed, but their rushing offense ranks 2nd to last in the league.
In their last games Cowboys beat the Minnesota Vikings 17-15 and the Giants lost to the Pittsburgh Steelers 24-14.
On the season the Cowboys are 9-3 ATS with an O/U record of 5-7 and the Giants are 6-5-1 ATS with an O/U record of 3-9.
In their win over the Vikings the Cowboys only had 264 total yards of offense, while Minnesota had 318, they were only 1/9 on 3rd down, and they had two turnovers. Prescott only had 139 passing yards in the game with one TD and no INT and Elliot only had 86 rushing yards, which was his lowest output since Week 2.
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We know the Cowboys have a slew of weapons on the outside such as Dez Bryant and TE Jason Witten and they will be up against a New York pass D that only ranks 25th in the league. The Giants run defense ranks 5th and in their opening win over Dallas they held Elliot to 51 rushing yards only averaging 2.6 yards per carry.
The Giants could not get much going in their loss to the Steelers with only 234 total yards and most of them were through the air. Manning passed for 195 yards and did have two TD, but also had two INT. He got no help, which he is used to this season, since the rushing game only had 56 yards. Manning passed for 207 yards with two TD and no INT in the opening season win over the Cowboys.
Dallas has the 2nd best run defense in the league, but they only rank 29th defending the pass.
Dallas at New York Betting Trends
- The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they have an Under record of 9-2 in their last 11 road games.
- The Giants are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss, and in their last 4 games the total has gone Under every time.
- The Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against the Cowboys.
- In the last 22 games between these teams the Over record is 16-5-1.
Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants Prediction
Two of the hotter clubs in the NFL meet for the second time this season and the first one was a good one with the Giants getting the narrowest of victories 20-19 as a one-point road favorite in Week 1. The 39 points scored were the lowest total for Dallas until last Thursday’s combined 32 points against the Vikings. The lines maker has set this week’s line at 47.5 and many bettors may find that a little on the high side for them play an OVER, but I disagree. Both of these teams defenses are banged up which is a completely different situation from Week 1 when most of the starters were available. This time around the Cowboys are a little thin at the CB position with arguably their top corner Morris Claiborne out and the Giants will be without top pass rusher Jason Pierre-Paul and have a bunch of depth players on defense hobbled. I look for a game like the Dallas at Pittsburgh in Week 10 that the Cowboys won 35-30.
Take the OVER 47.5