June 22nd MLB DFS Picks and Analysis – SportsGrid
June 22nd MLB DFS Picks and Analysis
It’s another exciting night in MLB DFS as both DraftKings and FanDuel are offering six figure prize pools! Mike Leone of the DailyRoto Daily Fantasy Rundown shares some picks and analysis to help get you started with your lineups.
Brian McCann (NYY) – The Yankees are the highest expected scoring offense on the day, and it’s not really a surprise given that they’re at home, where their plethora of LHBs can take advantage of the awful RHP Kevin Correia. Correia has yielded a .347 wOBA and 1.16 HR/9 to LHBs since 2012 and both ZiPS and Steamer project the 34 year old to have a 4.50-plus ERA with around 1.25 HR/9 allowed. He’s simply not a good pitcher as he doesn’t miss bats, is GB neutral and allows hard contact. It’s just two starts, but his hard hit rate this season is 41.7 percent. So, you definitely want to prioritize getting some Yankees in you lineup. One of the best ways to do so on a shortened slate is via a scarce catcher position. McCann will be in a top five lineup spot and is having a decent season power wise (ISO up to .201 from .174 last season). Some reasons for the power increase are likely a combination of harder hit contact, pulling the ball more (career high pull rate is great for him when he’s at home) and eliminating pop ups (career low 1.5 IFFB rate).
Hector Santiago (LAA) – Santiago is definitely a high risk, high reward pitcher but he’s the cheap pitcher you want to utilize in cash games alongside Kershaw if unable to pay up for Pineda on multi-SP sites. Santiago’s high walk and FB rates are a bit scary against a high upside Astros offense. However, Santiago has managed to deal with these weaknesses throughout his career, posting a 3.39 ERA in 433.1 IP despite a 4.41 FIP and 4.55 xFIP. I’m tempted to think that’s an outlier but the sample size is growing and we don’t need Santiago’s true skill set to lay a full run below his expected ERAs for him to be useful today anyways. His home park will mitigate his fly ball riskiness, and his main asset (22.6 K percentage) lines up well against the Astros (23.7 K percentage against LHP is fifth highest in MLB).
Like what you see? We go way more in-depth at DailyRoto.com, with advice from Drew Dinkmeyer, Mike Leone, and others, that produced three Millionaire Maker winners in 2014.
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