Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Golden State Warriors Free Pick and Betting Odds. The 81-20 Golden State Warriors host the 67-33 Cleveland Cavaliers in Game 5 of the NBA Finals series on 6/14/2015 at ORACLE Arena, Oakland, CA; Tipoff is at 8:00 PM ET.

Betting Odds
Point Spread: Warriors -8.5
Over/Under Total Line: 195.5

In Game 4 in Cleveland the Cavaliers lost to the Golden State Warriors 103-82 and did not cover as the 2.5-point underdog. Cleveland had won and covered in the previous 2 games. The total for Game 4 went Under, which has been the winning bet for 3 straight games in this series. In their last 10 games the Cavaliers are 6-4 ATS and they have an O/U record of 3-7.

On the season the Cavaliers are 25-25 ATS at home and 24-26 ATS on the road. They have covered the spread in 3 of their last 4 road games including their last one. Cleveland has an O/U home record of 19-31 and an O/U road record of 20-29-1. In 4 of their last 5 games on the road the Under has been the winning bet including their last one.

The Warriors won Game 4 to even this series at 2-2 and they easy covered the 2.5-point spread with the 21 point win. Golden State had failed to cover the spread in their last 2 games before doing so with the Game 4 blowout win. In 4 of their last 5 games the Under has been the winning bet including the last one in Game 4. In their last 10 games the Warriors are 5-5 ATS and they have an O/U record of 3-7.

This season the Warriors are 30-21-1 ATS at home and 26-24 ATS on the road. They have failed to cover the spread in their last 2 home games. Golden State has an O/U home record of 23-28-1 and an O/U road record of 19-31. In their last 5 home games the total has gone Under 4 times including their last one.

These 2 teams have split this finals series and they have also split the 2 regular season games facing each other. The road team has covered the spread in 2 of the last 3 games in this series. In 5 of the 6 games this season between these 2 teams the total has gone Under 5 times and that has been the winning bet for the last 3 games in this series.

Key Betting Trends

• CLE is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• CLE is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.
• CLE has an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
• GS is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games.
• GS is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
• GS has an Under record of 8-1-1 in their last 10 home games.

Injury Report

CLEVELAND
Kyrie Irving G Out For Season (knee)
Kevin Love F Out For Season (shoulder)
Anderson Varejao F Out For Season (Achilles)

GOLDEN STATE
No Injuries to report.

Consensus Betting ATS
Cleveland: 61%
Golden State: 39%

Free NBA Pick

The first 3 games of this series were close ones, the first 2 went to OT, before Golden State blew out Cleveland in Game 4. The main reason the Cavs lost that game is that LeBron James was only 7/22 from the floor for 20 points and overall they only shot 33% from the floor. Stephen Curry and Andre Iguodala both had some Game 4’s with each going for 22 points.

James scored 21 points below his series average in Game 4 and he and Matthew Dellavedova, who was 3/14 for 10 points in the game, will bounce back tonight and the Cavs will have a better shooting night. The Warriors have only lost 4 home games all season, but one was the last one where Cleveland won Game 2. I expect another close game and while the Cavs may not win they will cover the 8.5-point spread.

Take the CAVALIERS +8.5