Golden State Warriors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Free Pick and Betting Lines. The 67-32 Cleveland Cavaliers host the 80-20 Golden State Warriors in Game 4 of the NBA Finals series on 6/11/2015 at Quicken Loans Arena, Cleveland, OH; Tipoff is at 9:00 PM ET.

Betting Odds
Point Spread: Warriors -2.5
Over/Under Total Line: 192.5

In Game 3 of this series in Cleveland the Warriors lost to the Cavaliers 96-91 failing to cover the spread as the 1-point favorite. Golden State covered the spreads in the first game of the series, but have failed to do so in the last 2 games. The total for Game 3 went Under, which was the 2nd straight game in the series where that has been the winning bet. In their last 10 games the Warriors are 5-5 ATS and they have an O/U record of 3-7.

On the season the Warriors are 30-21-1 ATS at home and 25-24 ATS on the road. They have not covered the spread in their last 2 road games. Golden State has an O/U home record of 23-28-1 and an O/U road record of 19-30. In 2 of their last 3 games, including their last one, the posted total has gone Under.

The Cavaliers are now up 2-1 in this series after winning, as well as covering the spread, in their last 2 games in this series. The last 2 games of this series have gone Under while in the previous 3 games for Cleveland the Over was the winning bet. In their last 10 games the Cavs are 6-4 ATS and they have an O/U record of 4-6.

This season the Cavaliers are 25-24 ATS at home and 24-26 ATS on the road. In their last 2 home games they have covered the spread while in the previous 2 on their floor they did not do so. Cleveland has an O/U home record of 19-30 and an O/U road record of 20-29-1. The posted total had gone Over for 4 straight home games for the Cavs, but the last game went Under.

With their game 3 win the Cavaliers have won 3 of their 5 games facing the Warriors this season including their last 2. The home team has won and covered in 4 of the 5 games between these 2 teams this season. Also, in 4 of the 5 games the posted total has gone Under.

Key Betting Trends

GS is 24-11 ATS in their last 35 games following a S.U. loss.
GS is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
GS has an Under record of 11-4 in their last 15 games.
CLE is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
CLE is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
CLE has an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 home games.

Injury Report

GOLDEN STATE
No Injuries to report.

CLEVELAND
Kyrie Irving G Out For Season (knee)
Kevin Love F Out For Season (shoulder)
Anderson Varejao Out For Season (Achilles)

Free NBA Pick

The Cavs now have a 2-1 lead in this best of 7 series after winning the last 2 games. Cleveland won Game 3 because of their defense, which held the Warriors to 40% shooting. While Stephen Curry bounced back and had a good game going for 27 points Klay Thomson struggled with only 14 points on 6/16 shooting. Matthew Dellavedova has stepped up in this series and in Game 3 he scored 20 points to go along with LeBron going for 40. The Warriors made a valiant effort after being down big in the 4th quarter and they cannot get down big again since relying on their 3-point shot in the 4th quarter is not a way to win.

For the 4th straight game the Cavaliers are the underdog and even after winning 2 straight games they are a bigger underdog in Game 4 than in Game 3. It will not matter, as LeBron James will not be stopped and the Cavs will win and cover in this game taking a 3-1 lead in the series.

Take the CAVALIERS +2.5