Golden State Warriors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Free Pick and Betting Odds. The 66-32 Cleveland Cavaliers host the 80-19 Golden State Warriors in Game 3 of the NBA Finals series on 6/9/2015 at Quicken Loans Arena, Cleveland, OH; Tipoff is at 9:00 PM ET.

Betting Odds
Point Spread: Warriors -1
Over/Under Total Line: 194

After winning Game 1 and covering the spread they lost Game 2 95-93 in OT and failed to cover as 7.5-point favorites. Golden State had covered the spread in their previous 2 games. In Game 2 the total went Under while in Game 1 the Over was the winning bet. In their last 10 games the Warriors are 6-4 ATS and they have an O/U record of 3-7.

On the season the Warriors are 30-21-1 ATS at home and 25-23 ATS on the road. They have covered the spread 3 of their last 4 road games, but failed to do so in their last one. Golden State has an O/U home record of 23-28-1 and an O/U road record of 19-29. In 2 of their last 3 road games the Over has been the winning bet.

The Cavaliers evened the series at 1-1 with their Game 2 win where they covered the spread. They have covered in 2 of their last 3 games and the only one they did not was Game 1 of this series. The total for Game 2 went Under while the Over bet was the winning one for Cleveland’s previous 3 games. In their last 10 games the Cavaliers are 5-5 ATS and they have an O/U record of 5-5.

This season the Cavaliers are 24-24 ATS at home and 24-26 ATS on the road. In their last home game they covered the spread, but did not do so in the previous 2 on their floor. Cleveland has an O/U home record of 19-29 and an O/U road record of 20-29-1. In the Cavaliers last 4 home games the total has gone Over every time.

These 2 teams have not only split the first 2 games of this series, but have split the 4 games overall this season. In Game 2 was the first game of the 4 where the road team covered the spread. In 3 of the 4 games these teams have faced each other this season the Under has been the winning bet including the last game.

Key Betting Trends

GS is 24-11 ATS in their last 35 games following a S.U. loss.
GS is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
GS has an Under record of 11-4 in their last 15 games.
CLE is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
CLE is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
CLE has an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 home games.

Injury Report

GOLDEN STATE
No Injuries to report.

CLEVELAND
Kyrie Irving G Out For Season (knee)
Kevin Love F Out For Season (shoulder)
Anderson Varejao F Out For Season (Achilles)

Free NBA Pick

Many people wrote off the Cavaliers after learning Kyrie Irving would be out for the series with a knee injury. However, in Game 2 while the Cleveland was ice cold shooting and Golden State’s Klay Thomson went for 34 points the main reason Cleveland won is that Stephen Curry only scored 19 points on 5/23 shooting. Golden State needs to hit the 3 to win and in Game 2 Thomson and Curry were a combined 6/27 behind the 3-pt arc. LeBron James did not have a good shooting night in Game 2, but still finished with 39 points, a triple-double, and was 14/18 from the free throw line.

The Cavaliers are back at home for Game 3 and I don’t think each team will shoot under 40% from the field like in Game 2. Cleveland has the momentum and they have won their last 3-playoff games with Irving on the bench. This will be yet another close game, but Cleveland will pull out the win and take a 2-1 lead in the series.

Take the CAVALIERS +1