Fantasy Football Mailbag: Big names back in action
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Fantasy owners got good news this week with several high profile players returning to practice after extended absences. Jordy Nelson , Jamaal Charles and Steve Smith were activated off the PUP list, and Matt Forte was back in action.
No matter how you view these players this year for your Fantasy team, this is good news. We’d rather have healthy bodies than players in the training room, and it’s a great situation for Nelson after last year’s torn ACL.
We saw last season that his absence sent a ripple effect through the Green Bay Packers offense and hurt Aaron Rodgers , Randall Cobb and the entire passing game. If Nelson is healthy, he has proven to be a Top 5 Fantasy receiver and is worth drafting in Round 2, and Rodgers has the chance to be the No. 1 quarterback. Cobb also should rebound as a Top 20 Fantasy receiver — with Top 10 upside.
Charles has fallen to a great spot in Round 2, and hopefully he’ll bounce back after his second torn ACL in the past five years, albeit in different knees. We hope Andy Reid sticks with his track record of leaning on one running back, but Spencer Ware could be a factor and is worth a late-round pick in all leagues, whether you draft Charles or not.
Smith has a long way to go before Fantasy owners can trust him after last year’s torn Achilles, which essentially kept him from retirement. He’s 37 and coming off a devastating injury, and his goal is 39 more catches to top 1,000 for his career. The good thing for Smith is when he’s determined it’s hard to imagine him slowing down, but he’s only worth a late-round flier in most formats given the severity of his injury.
Forte has been dealing with a hamstring injury for most of training camp, but it appears like the New York Jets were just being cautious with him, which makes sense for a 30-year-old running back. He makes me nervous based on his Average Draft Position in Round 4, and I won’t be drafting him there. Instead, I’ll target Bilal Powell in Round 11 since the two could split touches this season.
Now, onto your questions. Please continue sending them in on Twitter @jameyeisenberg and on my Facebook page. As always, please use the hashtag #fantasymail if you want your questions answered here.
From Twitter …
I like Devontae Booker as a sleeper this year, but there’s no way I’m passing on C.J. Anderson as a keeper in Round 11, especially in favor of a quarterback. Anderson should rebound from last year’s down performance to start the year, and he closed 2015 playing on a high note. I expect that type of running back this season, and you’re stealing him with that value.
We’re still waiting to find out when Le’Veon Bell ‘s appeal will be heard for his four-game suspension, so that could change the outcome of this answer. But I’m probably still keeping him over Amari Cooper anyway even if Bell is out to start the season. I expect Cooper to be a breakout player in his second year, but I also know what Bell is capable of when healthy. And if you can pair him with DeAngelo Williams and lock up the Pittsburgh Steelers backfield then you have a Top 5 running back with the upside to be No. 1 overall.
Both players are exceptional, but I would lean toward DeAndre Hopkins over David Johnson in a PPR league. Now, to the second part of your question, if you can get A.J. Green over both then that’s who I would take. I expect Green to have a monster season this year with the Cincinnati Bengals having a depleted receiving corps. He’s the No. 4 overall pick in PPR leagues behind Antonio Brown , Julio Jones and Odell Beckham .
I’d throw back Brees. He’s a Top 5 Fantasy quarterback, but his value is lower in PPR. Freeman and Thomas are solid starters in any format, and you should still be able to draft Brees in Round 3 or 4 depending on how many players have been kept.
There’s not much value to keeping Alshon Jefferey in the third round, so the right call is Danny Woodhead in Round 10. He’s extremely underrated in all leagues, especially PPR, and he could easily be a weekly starter in that format. He should be drafted by Round 5 in PPR leagues.
Dez Bryant is the no-brainer of this group, and I would also keep Charles and Latavius Murray . This gives you a nice trio to start your team with a Top 5 receiver and two excellent running backs. I hate giving up on Carlos Hyde , but he’s behind Charles and Murray here.
This is great value for Russell Wilson , but you can get great value for most quarterbacks in 10-team leagues. Todd Gurley is a Top 10 overall player in PPR leagues, and it’s a steal to keep him in Round 3.
Give me Sterling Shepard over Emmanuel Sanders and Jordan Matthews , but I’ll take Bell over Shepard in that scenario. Sanders is a free agent, and where he plays next year will clearly determine his value. Matthews may never develop into a consistent threat, and Shepard could be excellent playing alongside Beckham for hopefully the majority of his career. That said, I’ll take Bell’s upside at running back even with the risk of another suspension and his recent knee woes. When he plays he’s among the best at his position in all formats.
I am excited about Donte Moncrief this year, but you have a better chance of drafting him for good value than Jordan Reed , who enters the season as the No. 2 tight end behind Rob Gronkowski . But you should still target Moncrief in the draft because he has the chance for a special year in 2016.
Beckham is the easy choice if this is the third round. If it’s the third overall pick then it will depend on your draft spot in Round 1 because you obviously don’t want to keep him if you can draft him again. Let’s assume you’re keeping Beckham in Round 3 then your second choice should be Floyd in Round 7 in standard leagues or Landry in Round 5 in PPR. And yes, Nelson in Round 11 is a slam dunk.
I’m going to keep Murray here and commit just $31 to my starting backfield. This leaves me plenty of money to throw at the rest of my roster and potentially pay $47 for Jones again. Wilson also is a great price, but I’d rather play the market at quarterback for another bargain this year.
That’s about the spot Mike Evans should go in a re-draft league, but if you’re concerned other owners will covet him sooner with the keepers off the board then you have a decision to make. If you can gauge the rest of your league to find out who is being kept then you’ll know if Evans is worth it for that price in Round 2.
From Facebook …
Based on the scoring you have to keep Bell. Once his suspension is over he should prove to be the best Fantasy running back this year, especially in this format. His receiving ability helps in PPR, which gives him an edge over Doug Martin , and the running back scoring gives him an edge over the receivers. Just make sure to draft DeAngelo Williams to cover yourself until Bell returns.