July 20th MLB DFS Picks and Analysis
It’s another exciting night in MLB DFS as both DraftKings and FanDuel are offering six figure prize pools! Drew Dinkmeyer of the DailyRoto Daily Fantasy Rundown shares some picks and analysis to help get you started with your lineups.
Carlos Gonzalez (COL) – After a brutal first two months of the season (.219/.296/.331), Gonzalez has looked more like himself in June and July (.298/.331/.582). His price point hasn’t quite adjusted across the industry and he ranks as the top overall hitter in our model on Monday. Charlie Blackmon closes the gap when you adjust for lineup positioning, but his price point is consistently elevated above Gonzalez. Gonzalez represents not only our top play in the outfield, but one of the better values to target industry wide. Nick Martinez has allowed a .337 wOBA and 1.07 HR/9 to LHBs since 2012 and he’ll be tasked with a park downgrade pitching in Coors Field. With the Rockies team total approaching six, Gonzalez is one of the easier ways to get exposure to the high powered offense.
Matt Harvey (NYM) – Harvey is undoubtedly the most talented starter on Monday’s slate and he gets a strong matchup against a watered down Nationals lineup. Without Denard Span, Anthony Rendon, and Ryan Zimmerman the Nationals offense projects as one of the weakest in MLB against RHP. Bryce Harper is an immense threat, but he’s the only regular in the lineup that has posted a wOBA above .330 against RHP since 2012. Ian Desmond is the only other regular with a wOBA above .310 against RHP since 2012. Throw in a depleted bullpen that likely will extend Harvey’s pitch count and we’ve got some additional upside in innings expectation. The one knock on Harvey today is price point. With Coors Field home to two weak starters spending on Harvey may cost you some offensive exposure to the game. I believe Harvey is the best combination of safety and upside at starter, but the price point doesn’t make him a necessity.
Like what you see? We go way more in-depth at DailyRoto.com, with advice from Drew Dinkmeyer, Mike Leone, and others, that produced three Millionaire Maker winners in 2014
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