Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds Free Pick and Betting Lines. The 36-42 Cincinnati Reds play host to the 34-48 Milwaukee Brewers tonight in MLB action on the grass of Great American Ball Park, July 4, 2015. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:15PM EST.

Betting Odds
Moneyline: Brewers -109/Reds -101
O/U Total: 9.5

Pitching Matchup
Jimmy Nelson (R) W/L 5-8 WHIP 1.30 ERA 4.48
Joshua Smith (R) W/L 0-1 WHIP 2.12 ERA 5.62

Milwaukee blew out Cincinnati 12-1 yesterday. They are on a 6-game winning streak and are 8-2 in their last 10 games. The Reds are 2-2 on their homestand and 2-5 in their past 7 games.

Cincinnati has a 5-3 lead in the season series and a 6-3 advantage in the last 9 encounters between these NL Central rivals.

Nelson was a 7-4 winner at Philadelphia in his last start. He allowed all 4 runs in 5 innings and has only 6 Q starts in his 16 starts on the year.

Smith was a 7-2 loser at the Mets in his last outing, his 2nd of the season. He surrendered 1 ER in 5 innings.

No Brewers hitter has faced Smith before.

For the Reds, OF Jay Bruce is 2-8 (.250) against Nelson with a HR and 3 RBIs while OF Marlon Byrd is 2-5 (.400) with an RBI. C Brayan Pena is 3-7 (.429) against the right-hander while OF Billy Hamilton is also 3-7 (.429) with 2 SBs. The quartet of 3B Todd Frazier, 1B Joey Votto, 2B Brandon Phillips and UT Skip Schumacher have had their troubles with Nelson and are a combined 3-20 (.150) against him.

Milwaukee at Cincinnati Betting Trends

The Brewers are 5-0 straight up in their last 5 games.
Milwaukee is 5-0 straight up in their last 5 road games.
The game total has gone under in 14 of Milwaukee’s last 20 games against the Reds.
Cincinnati is 2-5 straight up in their last 7 games.
The Reds are 6-3 straight up in their last 9 games against the Brewers.

Injury Report

MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Khris Davis OF 15-Day Disabled List
Brandon Kintzler 15-Day Disabled List
Wily Peralta P 15-Day Disabled List

CINCINNATI REDS
Homer Bailey P 60-Day Disabled List
Tony Cingrani P 15-Day Disabled List
Zack Cozart SS 60-Day Disabled List
Raisel Iglesias P 15-Day Disabled List
Sean Marshall P 60-Day Disabled List
Devin Mesoraco C 15-Day Disabled List
Jon Moscot P 60-Day Disabled List

Consensus Picks (Public Money line Bets)
Milwaukee: 46%
Cincinnati: 54%

Free MLB Pick

Neither starter today has impressed with Brewers’ starter Jimmy Nelson getting lit up for 7 runs in 2 1/3 innings in his last trip to Great American Ball Park earlier this season. Reds starter Joshua Smith improved in his second career start, but he still allowed 3 runs (1 earned) in 5 innings walking 4. He’ll be making his first home start tonight. Milwaukee leads the league in runs scored by a large margin in the last 7 days scoring 57 runs which is 12 runs more than the second place Jays. Cincinnati hasn’t been tearing the cover off of the ball with just 23 runs scored in the L7 days, but has hit .250 over that stretch and should find some runs in this spot.

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