Pittsburgh Pirates at San Diego Padres Free Pick and Betting Lines. The San Diego Padres 23-25 play host to the 24-22 Pittsburgh Pirates tonight in MLB action on the grass of Petco Park, May 28, 2015. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10PM EST.
Wagering Odds
Moneyline: Pirates -121/Padres +111
O/U Total: 6.5
Pitching Matchup
A.J. Burnett (R) W/L 4-1 WHIP 1.10 ERA 1.37
Ian Kennedy (R) W/L 2-4 WHIP 1.39 ERA 6.11
Pittsburgh defeated Miami 5-2 yesterday and is 6-2 in their last 8 games. This will be the first game of their road trip. San Diego edged the Angels 5-4 last night to complete a 3-3 road trip. They are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
This is the first time these two teams have met in 2015. They split the season series 3-3 in ’14 and the Padres have a 6-4 lead in the last 10 matchups between these two clubs.
Burnett was an 8-2 winner over the Mets in his last start, going 7 innings, allowing 1 run and striking out 10. It was his 8th-straight Q start and he has allowed more than 1 ER in only 1 of his last 8 starts. In that game he allowed 2 ERs.
Kennedy was a hard luck 2-0 loser to the Dodgers in his last outing. He went 6 innings, yielded 2 runs and fanned 6 for his 3rd Q start of the year.
The Pirates hitters like to see Kennedy. OF Gregory Polanco is 3-3 with a SB and RBI while 3B Josh Harrison is 4-6 (.667) with an RBI. 2B Neil Walker is 8-18 (.444) with 3 homers and 8 RBIs vs. the veteran right-hander. OF Jose Tabata is 3-7 (.429) with 3 RBIs while OF Andrew McCutcheon is 6-15 (.400) with a homer and 2 runs batted in.
Several San Diego hitters have had success vs. Burnett in the past. OF Justin Upton is hitting .429 with 2 HRs and 3 RBIs vs. the veteran right-hander while OF Will Venable is hitting at a .421 clip with a pair of HRs and 5 RBIs. IF Alexi Amarista is batting .333 with a homer and 2 RBIs. OF Matt Kemp hasn’t figured Burnett out yet as he is 0-8 against him.
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Pittsburgh at San Diego Betting Trends
Pittsburgh is 5-0 straight up in their last 5 games.
The Pirates are 7-15 straight up in their last 22 games against San Diego.
The game total has gone under in 4 of Pittsburgh last 5 games against San Diego.
The Padres are 4-8 straight up in their last 12 games.
San Diego is 1-5 straight up in their last 6 games at home.
Injury Report
PITTSBURGH PIRATES
Brandon Cumpton P 60-Day Disabled List
Andrew Lambo OF 15-Day Disabled List
Justin Sellers 2B 60-Day Disabled List
SAN DIEGO PADRES
Yonder Alonso 1B 15-Day Disabled List
Tim Federowicz C 60-Day Disabled List
Josh Johnson P 60-Day Disabled List
Cory Luebke P 60-Day Disabled List
Brandon Morrow P 15-Day Disabled List
Wil Myers 1B 15-Day Disabled List
Melvin Upton OF 15-Day Disabled List
Consensus Picks (Public Money line Bets)
Pittsburgh: 58%
San Diego: 42%
Free MLB Pick
Pittsburgh starter A.J. Burnett leads the league in ERA with a sizzling 1.37 on the season and may be the hottest pitcher in the league right now with a 0.86 ERA in his last three starts. Pittsburgh is only 5-4 in his 2015 starts, but that is because of their lack of run support scoring 7 runs in his first five outings this season. They’ve since won four consecutive games that he has started as their offense has started to produce some runs. In fact, their scoring has never been better than right now this season scoring 35 runs in their last 6 games over their 6-game win streak. San Diego has won back-to-back games and three of their last four after a 4-game slide so may be on the rebound, however a win this spot may be too much to ask. Starter Ian Kennedy has been horrible at home this season with an 8.15 ERA and takes on a lineup that has a lifetime .321 batting average and 1.003 OPS versus him. We’ll ride the Pirates winning streak and hope that they can get some separation here.
Take the Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 runs +145