Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets Free Pick and Betting Odds. The 64-33 Houston Rockets host the 78-17 Golden State Warriors in Game 4 of the Western Conference finals on 5/25/2015 at Toyota Center, Houston, TX; Tipoff is at 9:00 PM ET.

Betting Odds
Point Spread: Warriors -4.5
Over/Under Total Line: 213

In Game 3 the Warriors were in Houston and beat the Rockets 115-80 easily covering the spread as a 1.5-point underdog. Golden State had failed to cover in the first 2 games of this series at home before doing so in the Game 3 on the road. The total for Game 3 went Under, which has the winning bet in every game this season and for 9 of the last 10 games for the Warriors. In their last 10 games Golden State is 6-4 ATS.

On the season the Warriors are 28-20-1 ATS at home and 25-22 ATS on the road. Golden State has covered the spread in their last 3 road games. They have an O/U home record of 22-26-1 and an O/U road record of 19-28. In 4 of their last 5 road games the Under has been the pick including in the last game.

The Rockets had lost the first 2 games of this series at Golden State, but covered the spread before failing to do so in the last game when they were crushed. The Under has been the winning bet in every game of this series and in Houston’s last 4 games overall. In their last 10 games the Rockets are 5-5 ATS and they have an O/U record of 6-4.

This season the Rockets are 31-17 ATS at home and 27-23 ATS on the road. Houston had covered the spread in 2 straight home games before not doing so in Game 3 in this series. The Rockets have an O/U home record of 23-26 and an O/U road record of 26-23. In their last 2 home games the posted total has gone Under both times and in their previous 3 it had gone Over.

Golden State is 7-0 against the Rockets this season and they have covered the spread in 5 of the 7 games only not doing so in Games 1 and 2 at home. In the 4 games in the regular season between these 2 teams the total went Under twice and Over twice and has gone Under in all 3 games in the playoff series.

Key Betting Trends

GS is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
GS is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
GS has an Under record of 9-1 in their last 10 games.
HOU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
HOU is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.
HOU has an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 games.

Injury Report

GOLDEN STATE
Marreese Speights F Out Indefinitely (calf)

HOUSTON
Patrick Beverley G Out Indefinitely (wrist)
K.J. McDaniels G Out For Season (elbow)
Donatas Motiejunas F Out Indefinitely (back)

Consensus Betting ATS
Golden State: 48%
Houston: 52%

Free NBA Pick

The Rockets came back from a 3-1 deficit to beat the L.A. Clippers in the conference semis, but to make history and come back from 3-0, which no team has ever done, they must win tonight. They were blown out in Game 3 at home where they only shot 33.7% from the floor. James Harden stunk it up in the game only goint 3/16 from the field and on top of that the Rockets allowed the Warriors to score 58 points in the paint.

For the 3rd straight game Houston had no answer for Stephen Curry, who went for 40 points in the Game 3 win. He has already set the record for 3-pointers made in the post-season and the Rockets have to find a way to keep him bombing away from deep. Rebounding will also be key tonight, as the Rockets were dominated on the boards and gave up 17 offensive boards. Just like Games 1 and 2 the Warriors may win, but Houston will not go down without a fight, despite the weak effort in the last game, and they will cover the 4.5-point spread at home.

Take the ROCKETS +4.5