Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets Free Pick and Betting Lines. The 64-32 Houston Rockets host the 77-17 Golden State Warriors in Game 3 of the Western Conference finals on 5/21/2015 at Toyota Center, Houston, TX; Tipoff is at 9:00 PM ET.

Betting Odds
Point Spread: Warriors -1
Over/Under Total Line: 214.5

In Game 2 of this series the Warriors were at home and beat the Rockets 99-98, but did not cover the 10-point spread. Golden State is up 2-0 in this series, but they have not covered in either of the 2 games. The total for Game 2 went Under, which has been the winning bet in 7 of the last 8 games for the Warriors including the last 2. In their last 10 games Golden State is 5-5 ATS and they have an O/U record of 2-8.

On the season the Warriors are 28-20-1 ATS at home and 24-22 ATS on the road. In their last 2 games on the road Golden State has covered the spread.
They have an O/U home record of 22-26-1 and an O/U road record of 19-27. In their last road games the posted total went Over while in their previous 3 the Under was the winning bet.

The Rockets lost Game 2, but covered again and they have covered the spread in 5 straight games overall. The total for the Game went Under, which has been the winning bet for the last 3 Houston games. In their last 10 games the Rockets are 6-4 ATS and they have an O/U record of 6-4.

This season the Rockets are 31-17 ATS at home and 27-22 ATS on the road. They have covered the spread in their last 2 home games. Houston has an O/U home record of 23-25 and an O/U road record of 26-23. In their last home games the posted total went Over while it had gone Under in their previous 3 games.

The Warriors have won all 6 games facing the Rockets this season and while they covered the spread in the 4 regular season match ups they have failed to do so in either game in this series. The total has gone Under for both games in this series and in the 6 meetings this season the O/U record is 2-4.

Key Betting Trends

GS is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a S.U. win.
GS is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.
GS has an Under record of 8-1 in their last 9 games.
HOU is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
HOU is 23-9 ATS in their last 32 home games.
HOU has an Over record of 11-3 in their last 14 home games.

Injury Report

GOLDEN STATE
Marreese Speights F Out Indefinitely (calf)

HOUSTON
Patrick Beverley G Out Indefinitely (wrist)
K.J. McDaniels G Out For Season (elbow)
Donatas Motiejunas F Out Indefinitely (back)

Consensus Betting ATS
Golden State: 32%
Houston: 68%

Free NBA Pick

The Rockets came close to evening the series with a Game 2 win, but James Harden could not get a shot off as time expired. The Warriors almost gave it away up 17 before a big Houston run got them back in the game. Dwight Howard was a question mark for the game after injuring his knee in Game 1, but he went for 19 points and 17 boards in 40 minutes. Stephen Curry had another big game going for 33 points and in the first 2 games of the series he has buried 11 3-pointers.

The Rockets are back at home, but the Warriors have to be confident up 2-0 in the series. In Game 2 the Warriors had 16 turnovers and they are the reason Houston got back in the game. That will not happen in this game and while I see a close one the Warriors will win and take a commanding 3-0 lead in the series.

Take the WARRIORS +1