Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves Free Pick and Betting Lines. The 19-20 Atlanta Braves play host to the 15-26 Milwaukee Brewers tonight in MLB action on the grass of Turner Field, May 21, 2015. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10PM EST.

Wagering Odds
Moneyline: Braves -128/Brewers +118
O/U Total: 7.5

Pitching Matchup

Matt Garza (R) W/L 2-5 WHIP 1.58 ERA 5.72
Julio Teheran (R) W/L 3-1 WHIP 3-1 ERA 4.33

Milwaukee lost 5-2 at Detroit yesterday. They are 3-3 on their current road trip and 3-5 in their last 8 games. Atlanta outlasted Tampa Bay 2-1 last night. They are 1-1 on their homestand and 5-3 in their past 8 games.

This is the first matchup between these clubs in 2015. The Braves had a 5-2 edge in 2014 and a 6-3 lead in the last 9 encounters.

Garza was a 14-1 loser at the NY Mets in his last start. He allowed 10 ERs in 3.1 innings, one of the worst starts of his career. He had 4 Q starts in his previous 5 outings before that disaster.

Teheran received a no decision in a 5-3 win at Miami in his last start. He allowed 1 run in 5.2 innings. He has 3 Q starts on the year but only 1 in his last 6 appearances.

Only 2 Brewers hitters have more than 7 ABs vs. Teheran. OFs Gerardo Parra and Carlos Gomez are a combined 4-21 for a .190 BA. No one has homered off of the young right-hander.

Atlanta OF Jonny Gomes is 4-8 (.500) with a HR and 3 RBIs vs. Garza. 1B Freddie Freeman is hitting .333 with a HR and 2 RBIs while 3B Alberto Callaspo is batting .286 with a homer and 3 RBIs vs. the veteran right-hander. OF Nick Markakis is 6-38 (.158) with 5 RBIs vs. Garza.

Milwaukee at Atlanta Betting Trends

Milwaukee is 1-5 straight up in their last 6 games against Atlanta
The game total has gone under in 6 of Milwaukee’s last 9 road games.
Atlanta is 4-1 straight up in their last 5 games.
The Braves are 5-1 straight up in their last 6 games against Milwaukee.
The game total has gone under in 7 of Atlanta’s last 10 games against the Brewers.

Injury Report

MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Jonathan Lucroy C 15-Day Disabled List
Jean Segura SS 15-Day Disabled List

ATLANTA BRAVES
Phil Gosselin 3B 15-Day Disabled List
Chris Johnson 3B 15-Day Disabled List
Kelly Johnson OF 15-Day Disabled List
Mike Minor P 60-Day Disabled List
Josh Outman P 60-Day Disabled List
Shae Simmons P 60-Day Disabled List
Joey Terdoslavich OF 15-Day Disabled List
Daniel Winkler P 15-Day Disabled List

Consensus Picks (Public Money line Bets)
Milwaukee: 30%
Atlanta: 70%

Free MLB Pick

We’re going to side with the public here and put our money down on the Braves. Matt Garza’s numbers are distorted by his awful outing against the Mets who got to him for 10 runs in 3 1/3, but on the year he has recorded one Q start in his four road outings. The Braves’ starter Julio Teheran has been off more than on this season, but does show solid numbers at home with a 2-0 W/L record with a 2.04 ERA in three starts with two of three being Q starts.

Take the Atlanta Braves -127‏