Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies Free Pick and Betting Lines. The 61-31 Memphis Grizzlies host the 74-17 Golden State Warriors in Game 6 ina Western Conference semifinals series on 5/15/2015 at FedExForum, Memphis, TN Tipoff is at 9:30 PM ET.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Warriors -5
Over/Under Total Line: 193.5

In Game 5 the Warriors were at home and beat the Grizzlies 98-78 covering the 10-point spread. Golden State has covered the spread in the last 2 games of this series. The total for Game 5 went Under, which has been the winning bet for every game in the series and for the last 6 games for the Warriors overall. In their last 10 games the Warriors are 4-6 ATS and they have an O/U record of 2-7-1.

On the season the Warriors are 28-17-1 ATS at home and 23-22 ATS on the road. Golden State has covered the spread in 2 of their last 3 road games including their last one. The Warriors have an O/U home record of 22-23-1 and a road O/U record of 18-27. In the last 3 road games for Golden State the total has gone Under every time.

The Grizzlies failed to win or cover in the last 2 games of this series. The total has gone Under in every game in this series and in 8 of their last 10 games for Memphis that has been the winning bet. In their last 10 games the Grizzlies are 5-4-1 ATS.

This season at home the Grizzlies are 23-20-2 ATS at home and 22-24 ATS on the road. In their last home game they failed to cover the spread. The Grizzlies have an O/U home record of 14-31-1 and they have an O/U road record of 22-23-1. In 4 of their last 5 games at home the total has gone Under including the last 2.

In the regular season the Warriors won and covered in their last 2 games facing the Grizzlies while Memphis won and covered in the first game. In this series the Warriors are 3-2 ATS against the Grizzlies and in all 8 games between these 2 teams on the season, including this series, the total has gone Under every time.

Key Betting Trends

GS is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
GS is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.
GS has an Under record of 6-0 in their last 6 games.
MEM is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
MEM is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
MEM has an Under record of 24-2 in their last 26 home games.

Injury Report

GOLDEN STATE
Ognjen Kuzmic C Out Indefinitely (ankle)
Marreese Speights F Out Indefinitely (calf)

MEMPHIS
No Injuries to report.

Consensus Betting ATS

Golden State: 53%
Memphis: 47%

Free NBA Playoff Pick

The Warriors have won the last 2 games of this series and now lead 3-2. They can close out the series tonight and the Grizzlies’ offense must play better than they did in the last 2 games. Golden State averaged 110 ppg on the season and while they have only scored 101 and 98 points in their last 2 games the Grizzlies have only scored 84 and 78. The Grizzlies are 5-1 home in the playoffs, but the one loss came against the Warriors in their last game on their floor.

The Grizzlies have failed to shoot 40% from the floor in the last 2 games. I do not think they will get blown out in this game at home, but the Warriors are back on track and they will win tonight, cover the spread, and close out the series.

Take the WARRIORS