2015 NFL Draft results: Fantasy football fallout for first round quarterbacks – SB Nation
Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Tennessee Titans got their guys, but what does that mean for your fantasy team?
The first round of the 2015 NFL Draft is a wrap. And after 32 newly acquired players had made their way up to the stage in order to bearhug the commissioner, only Jameis Winston and Marcus Mariota avoided the Day 2 “Best Available QB” ticker. No Bryce Petty (though New Orleans had dangled that scenario earlier that morning), no Brett Hundley (upside, sure, but not enough for Day 1), and certainly no Garrett Grayson (unless the draft took place in January.) The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Tennessee Titans, however, had no choice.
I mean, sure, either could have easily drafted Leonard Williams or Amari Cooper and positively spun their case to each of their respective fan bases. But, when you receive the opportunity to draft a player that could potentially lead your franchise for the next decade (and only for upwards of $22 million dollars during those first four years), you’re given no choice but to swing for the fences. Fortunately, fantasy football owners have that choice.
Today we are taking a look at the fantasy football implications of the Winston and Mariota picks. They might have been the right call at 1 and 2, but they’ll still be on the board in the 12th round when you’re selecting in most single year leagues. And though both have outlying talent that warrant consideration to be chosen, both could just as easily remain untouched on the wire throughout the year. In fact, let’s take a closer look and see where either of them could rank at season’s end.
Jameis Winston
Though OC Dirk Koetter typically runs a downfield-passing game best suited for Winston’s arm and stature, no QB could lead a successful offense with the type of season the No. 1 overall pick had just last year. Winston’s 18 interceptions in 2014 were no mistake. Countless times, the young QB would drop back and either complete passes to an LB sitting underneath in coverage or…well, see for yourself.
Still, two things work against those using 2014 as an excuse to forego Winston entirely. For starters, 2013.
His Heisman campaign was light years ahead of his efforts in 2014, especially in the category scouts tend to care most about: pocket presence. Winston didn’t necessarily see pressure more often so much as he failed to readily make intelligent decisions in the midst of it. Whether we can chalk it up to the absence of Kelvin Benjamin or not, all too often Winston found himself turning the ball over (or nearly, at least) when surrounded by free-rushing defenders. But again, there were little to no signs of this the year prior.
Another thing Winston has going for him is his teammates. At the end of the day, there’s no excuse to launch abhorrent rockets 30 yards downfield while shuffling backwards. Of course, in the instances Winston fails to remember this, it doesn’t hurt to have a receiving corps that simultaneously towers over opposing defenders. Mike Evans and Vincent Jackson provide Winston with valuable weapons early in his career. Considering the two wide receivers stand 6’5, they possess the essential ability to win any and all jump-ball battles.
At the end of the day, Winston’s progression and highlights will both take place behind an offensive line that ranked fourth-worst in pass protection last season. Teaching him to properly set his feet in order to attack defenses vertically is one thing, but finding time for him to do so might be the real issue. Temper those expectations, dynasty owners, and hope 2014 was only an aberration.
Preseason Ranking: QB26
Marcus Mariota
From a fantasy perspective, Mariota holds much more intrigue right out of the gates. Assuming he starts Week 1 (and let’s be honest, Zach Mettenberger isn’t exactly an assured thing), Mariota can help your fantasy team immediately. The difference is that he might not be able to help his own team that quickly. However, if it’s a negative that Winston finds himself in disappointing company when comparing his combine results, at least Mariota aligns himself with at least some fantasy relevance.
With pocket presence as his biggest concern, Mariota — as he did during the occasional down at Oregon — could fall victim to rushing his throws and foregoing setting his feet. Fortunately for fantasy owners, I doubt Ken Whisenhunt allows it to reach that point. If you recall, Whisenhunt singlehandedly revived Kurt Warner following an abysmal start to his career with the Arizona Cardinals (though Anquan Boldin could be given partial credit), only to follow that up by helping Phillip Rivers lead the league in completion percentage. Whisenhunt will certainly cater the offense to guide Mariota, even if that means a healthy dose of Bishop Sankey and Shonn Greene during the first half of the season.
In the meantime, Mariota will have to get past his fumbling issue to hold more value. Having been stripped a whopping 27 times over the past three seasons, his career 105/14 TD-INT ratio means very little if he’s still finding ways to turn the ball over. And given the fact that Tennessee allowed the sixth-most sacks in 2014, Mariota’s ability to escape the pocket (whilst holding onto the ball) could be handy immediately.
The Titans offense relies entirely on the progression of Mariota. If everything falls into place and the No. 2 pick gets comfortable quickly, everyone from Harry Douglas to Justin Hunter could become cogs in Whisenhunt’s spread offense, simultaneously forcing their way onto fantasy rosters. If 2015 becomes more of a learning curve though, look for another 100-plus targets thrown underneath to Delanie Walker. Still, those rushing totals might be too enticing to pass on come August.
Call it what you want: splitting hairs, a coin toss, etc. But with these two, it really is just that. As it pertains to your fantasy team in 2015 though, don’t be afraid to swing for those fences. That’s what I’ll be doing.
Preseason Ranking: QB21
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