Opening Line: Colts -3
Time: 1 PM EST Sunday November 20, 2016 on ABC
Tennessee Titans (5-5) vs. Indianapolis Colts (4-5)
Neither the Titans or Colts are over .500 for the season, but they are still in the AFC South race. They both trail the 6-3 Houston Texans, who have a tough game this Monday night facing the Oakland Raiders in Mexico City. Tennessee is coming off a big win over the Green Bay Packers where their offense blew up and scored 47 points. They have won two of their last three games and in that span they are averaging 39.3 ppg.
The Colts are coming off a bye and they have also won two of their last three games with their last win against the Packers as well. That game was in Green Bay and they are the slight home favorite in this game. They already beat the Titans at home this season 34-26. The Colts do not have one win this season facing a team that currently has a winning record.
In their last games the Titans beat the Green Bay Packers 47-25 and the Colts also beat the Packers 31-26 and they are coming off a bye.
On the season the Titans are 4-6 ATS with an O/U record of 8-2 and the Colts are 4-4-1 ATS with an O/U record of 7-2
The Titans lit up the Packers in their last game where they had a balanced contest with 284 passing yards, 162 rushing yards, and their defense forced three turnovers. Marcus Mariota passed for 295 yards with four TD and no picks in the game with Delane Walker being his main target with 124 receiving yards and a TD. In the backfield DeMarco Murray had another solid game rushing for 123 yards with a TD and he ranks 2nd in the league in rushing yards.
The Titans will be facing an Indianapolis defense that has had major issues on the season and they only rank 26th in the league defending the pass and 22nd defending the run.
In their win over the Packers the Colts had 50 fewer overall yards and while their defense did give up 405 total yards they held Green Bay 4/12 on 3rd downs. Andrew Luck passed for 281 yards with a TD, but was picked off twice and Frank Gore rushed for 60 yards only averaging 3.2 yards per carry with two TD.
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Luck has had to do most of the work on offense and protecting him will be key. The Indy offensive line has a tall task in this game facing a Tennessee pass rush that ranks 4th in the league in sacks and took down Aaron Rodgers five times in last week’s win over the Packers. Tennessee only ranks 16th in the league in run defense, but facing Luck their main worry is their 29th ranked pass defense. In the earlier win this season against the Titans Luck passed for 353 yards with three TD and no INT.
Titans at Colts Betting Trends
- The Titans are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games, 5-19-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, and they have an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
- The Colts are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win, and they have an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.
- The Colts are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against the Titans.
- The Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games against the Titans.
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts Free Pick
The Titans after starting the season going 2-1 against the O/U line they’ve had seven consecutive OVERS. Not many handicappers would consider Tennessee an offensive juggernaut, but that’s what they have become averaging 33.66 points over their last six games. The Colts come into this game on their own OVER run going 5-1 versus the total in their last six and a bankroll padding 7-2 on the season. These two clubs put up 60 points in their earlier meeting with the Colts leading the way with 34 points. Indianapolis was without No. 2 and No. 3 WRs D.Moncrief and P.Dorsett who will be playing this week.
Take the OVER 52.5
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