AT&T Stadium
Opening Line: Bengals -1
Over/Under: 45
Time: 4:25 PM EST Sunday October 9, 2016 on CBS
Cincinnati Bengals (2-2) vs. Dallas Cowboys (3-1)
The Bengals had lost two in a row, but they were impressive in their last game, especially on defense, only giving up seven points in a win over the Miami Dolphins. While they are a 1-point betting favorite in Dallas this Sunday against the 3-1 Cowboys Cincy is 0-2 this season facing a team that has a winning record.
The Cowboys have won three in a row after dropping their season opener and in each of their last two games they have only given up 17 points. Rookie Dak Prescott has been solid and fellow rookie RB Ezekiel Elliot leads the NFL in rushing yards.
In their last games the Cowboys beat the San Francisco 49ers 24-17 and the Bengals beat the Miami Dolphins 22-7.
On the season the Bengals are 2-2 ATS with an O/U record of 2-2 and the Cowboys are 3-1 ATS with an O/U record of 2-2.
These teams have not met since the 2012 season where the Cowboys beat the Bengals 20-19.
Andy Dalton leads a Bengals’ aerial attack that ranks 3rd in the league in passing yards per game. He has one of the best WR’s in the game in A.J. Green and he has put up solid numbers, but it has not translated to TD’s as he only has three on the season. Still, he has limited mistakes with only two picks and he will face a Dallas pass defense that only ranks 18th in the league.
Dalton has not gotten much help from the rushing offense, which only ranks 28th in the league. The team’s leading rusher in Jeremy Hill is only averaging 3.7 yards per carry. Dallas ranks 11th in the league in defending the run so Hill and company have their work cut out for them.
Prescott has been solid and while he only has three TD he has not been picked off. He has a good WR corps and TE Jason Witten, but it will be a big lift if the injured Dez Braynt can go, as he is questionable with a knee injury. Elliot has shined as a rookie back and in his last two games he has rushed for 140 yards and 138 yards respectively.
Cincinnati ranks 10th in the league defending the pass and 14th defending the run.
This season the Cowboys are 1-1 at home and the Bengals are 1-1 on the road.
Betting Trends
- The Bengals are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games, 14-5-2 ATS in their last 21 games overall, and in their last 5 road games the Under record is 4-1.
- The Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win, 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 home games, and in their last 7 games after an ATS win they have an Over record of 5-2.
Cincinnati Bengals at Dallas Cowboys Free Pick
The Cowboys with rookie QB Dak Prescott at the helm have looked good stringing together three straight wins and are just two points away from being undefeated. That said the team is dealing with some injuries on the offensive line and may be without their top wideout Dex Bryant for the second week in a row. That’s not a good set up for a game against on paper against the best defense they have faced this season. Also, the Bengals come into this game with extra rest after playing last Thursday and expectations are high for their star TE and touchdown machine Tyler Eifert to make his first start of the season.
Take the Cincinnati Bengals -1