2016 NBA Mock Draft: 1st-Round Predictions, Prospects Who Are Safest Bets – Bleacher Report
The NBA Draft Combine wrapped up in Chicago this past weekend, helping to put the draft picture into clearer focus.
The next step in the predraft process is the NBA draft lottery, which will take place on Tuesday night at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN.
For the purposes of this pre-lottery mock draft, the lottery teams’ odds of securing the top pick have determined the order. On Tuesday, the order will change dramatically, with some teams potentially gaining or losing picks based where they land as the implications of previous trades involving protected picks.
Pick | Team | Player | Pos. | School/Country |
1. | Philadelphia 76ers | Brandon Ingram | F | Duke |
2. | Los Angeles Lakers | Ben Simmons | F | LSU |
3. | Boston Celtics (via BKN) | Dragan Bender | F/C | Croatia |
4. | Phoenix Suns | Jaylen Brown | F | California |
5. | Minnesota Timberwolves | Buddy Hield | G | Oklahoma |
6. | New Orleans Pelicans | Kris Dunn | PG | Providence |
7. | Denver Nuggets (via NYK) | Jamal Murray | G | Kentucky |
8. | Sacramento Kings | Henry Ellenson | F/C | Marquette |
9. | Toronto Raptors (via DEN) | Marquese Chriss | F | Washington |
10. | Milwaukee Bucks | Jakob Poeltl | C | Utah |
11. | Orlando Magic | Skal Labissiere | F/C | Kentucky |
12. | Utah Jazz | Demetrius Jackson | G | Notre Dame |
13. | Phoenix Suns (via WAS) | Domantas Sabonis | F | Gonzaga |
14. | Chicago Bulls | Deyonta Davis | F/C | Michigan State |
15. | Denver Nuggets (via HOU) | Timothe Luwawu | G/F | France |
16. | Boston Celtics (via DAL) | Furkan Korkmaz | G/F | Turkey |
17. | Memphis Grizzlies | Wade Baldwin IV | G | Vanderbilt |
18. | Detroit Pistons | Denzel Valentine | G/F | Michigan State |
19. | Denver Nuggets (via POR) | Brice Johnson | F | North Carolina |
20. | Indiana Pacers | Malachi Richardson | G | Syracuse |
21. | Atlanta Hawks | Taurean Prince | G/F | Baylor |
22. | Charlotte Hornets | Damian Jones | C | Vanderbilt |
23. | Boston Celtics | Diamond Stone | C | Maryland |
24. | Philadelphia 76ers (via MIA) | Juan Hernangomez | F | Spain |
25. | Los Angeles Clippers | Ante Zizic | C | Croatia |
26. | Philadelphia 76ers (via OKC) | Petr Cornelie | F/C | France |
27. | Toronto Raptors | Malik Beasley | G | Florida State |
28. | Phoenix Suns (via CLE) | Ben Bentil | PF | Providence |
29. | San Antonio Spurs | Malcolm Brogdon | G | Virginia |
30. | Golden State Warriors | Tyler Ulis | PG | Kentucky |
Safest Draft Prospects
Brandon Ingram, Duke
Mark Dolejs-USA TODAY Sports
Brandon Ingram, a candidate to go No. 1 overall, has the skill set to do a bit of everything on the court.
Ingram was one of just three players in all of college basketball a season ago to average two three-pointers per game and at least one block per game, per Sports-Reference.com. To put that into perspective, Kevin Durant of the Oklahoma City Thunder was the only NBA player with such a stat line during the 2015-16 NBA season.
It’s Ingram’s balanced skill set that makes him an elite prospect with the potential to impact the game on a Durant-like level. But that’s also what makes him such a safe prospect.
With Ingram’s shooting, rebounding and ability to contribute defensively, his NBA floor should be something along the lines of a Channing Frye-type player—a solid rotation piece capable of contributing on a contender.
Buddy Hield, Oklahoma
There’s always room for shooters in the NBA, especially in this era when teams are jacking up outside shots at a record pace.
It’s difficult to come up with a comparison for Hield because no college player from a major conference has ever shot the three at the same frequency (8.7 attempts per game) with the same impressive success rate (45.7 percent) as Hield during his senior year at Oklahoma.
If Hield is able to enter the pros and create shots for himself off the dribble, the sky is the limit for his NBA potential. Guards at the NBA level with that skill set are tough to find, with the Golden State Warriors’ Stephen Curry and the Portland Trail Blazers’ Damian Lillard representing the elite tier of that group.
But even if Hield isn’t able to create his own shot at the next level, his outside shooting accuracy should lead to a long NBA career. Players such as Leandro Barbosa and Raja Bell fall into the this category, which is also a realistic outcome for Hield‘s career.
Kris Dunn, Providence
Mark L. Baer-USA TODAY Sports
Like Hield, Providence point guard Kris Dunn is another great example of the benefits of staying in college to develop your game.
Dunn shot just 38.7 percent from the field through his first two seasons at the college level, and the three-pointer was not in his repertoire. Over the past two seasons, however, his offensive game has improved dramatically. As a junior and a senior, he shot 46.1 percent from the field and averaged 1.3 three-pointers per game in his final season at Providence.
Dunn is one of the few true point guards in this draft class, and his well-rounded skill set shows flashes of Russell Westbrook. Dunn nearly averaged a triple-double per 100 possessions in his college career, according to Sports-Reference.com.
A point guard who can contribute in all aspects of the game is a safe bet to carve out a productive role for himself in the NBA.