MLB Picks and Pivots – FanDuel Picks April 23 – Fantasy CPR

Apr 21, 2016; Cincinnati, OH, USA; Chicago Cubs starting pitcher Jake Arrieta runs on the field in the bottom of the ninth inning against the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. Mandatory Credit: David Kohl-USA TODAY Sports

MLB Picks and Pivots – FanDuel Picks April 23

Welcome to the Saturday edition of Picks & Pivots, a daily fantasy column focused on providing analysis for the upcoming MLB FanDuel slate. The purpose of this column is to first identify key building blocks that can be used for any roster construction and then identify pivot points to help differentiate your lineup in hopes of a big pay day!

FanSided and FantasyCPR have you covered – For additional FanDuel MLB analysis, take a look at my fellow staff writer Matt Rogers FanDuel Economics column or Mike Marteny who provides Draft Kings MLB Picks analysis giving you the most in depth DFS coverage for tonight’s baseball slate.

With Saturday’s slate we get another “two slate” day with 6 early games kicking off at 1PM EST and another 9 games on the later slate starting at 7:10PM EST. On days like today, I will split my picks between both slates for those who want to maximize the amount of games they can participate in.

I will continue to track winning GPP lineups and compare trends over 5 day periods to help us understand what it takes to remain profitable. I HIGHLY recommend each of you do this each morning to look back on the previous night and understand how the winning lineups are constructed in the games you participate in.

The view below tracks GPP entries over various time periods, breaking out key metrics to understand the trends and compositions of GPP winning rosters:

Thursday’s games were off the charts – not only did we get two separate slates but we got treated to a massive evening slate including a no hitter! The winning scores on Thursday across the multiple slates were significantly higher than the trend which was driven primarily by the late night slate which had huge pitching performances and a variety of big time offensive outbursts.

I imagine most would look back on this slate and expect to see Jake Arrieta and his 57 point no hitter at the top of the winning lineup however it was Rich Hill who put up the exact same 57 point performance with a dominant strikeout performance against the Yankees. If you read April 21 Picks and Pivots I called out the following –

“Over their last 10 starts, Jake Arrieta has fanned 8 batters per game…Rich Hill has fanned 7.86. Considering the price is almost half of the Cubs ace, I love the GPP pivot and upside that Hill has against the Yankees.”

The purpose of me revisiting this article is not to prove that I was right(but hey I am married and am so rarely right so this is fun) but seriously I am sure I could point to plenty of picks that didn’t pan out but the reason I bring this up is that we continue to find that the upside value starting pitchers provide is more often than not what is winning large field tournaments.

Look back at the early slate yesterday – the winning GPP pitcher was not Clayton Kershaw or Max Sherzer – it was Ricky Nolasco who put up 49 points (8x value). Again, it’s important to keep an eye on these trends when constructing your rosters as identifying the high upside bargain arms continues to manifest itself as the key GPP winning indicator.

Now on to the picks…

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