4/14 MLB DFS Picks: Archer and Other Must-Use Players – SportsGrid
4/14 MLB DFS Picks
DailyRoto.com’s MLB Solo Shot Host, Logan Hitchcock, gets you headed in the right direction with his 4/14 MLB DFS Picks. Check out where his mind is at today when it comes to roster construction at DraftKings and FanDuel.
Where To Focus?
Is there a game at Coors Field today? Yep.
Should we focus on using hitters from that game? Yep.
Coors Field will condense ownerships and make for an easy tournament stack today, but it’s paramount that you have some exposure, particularly in cash games. Matt Cain and Jorge de la Rosa pose no real threat to hitters here and with implied run totals well over five for each team, Vegas agrees. Matt Cain is well beyond his prime and is a flyball pitcher that has largely been aided by his home park in his career. He gets no edge today, seeing an extreme negative park shift against this heavily left-handed Rockies lineup. Last season, left-handed hitters put together a .404 wOBA against Cain as he allowed 2.00 HR/9 to guys from the left-handed batters’ box. On the other hand, de la Rosa has had to put up with Coors Field his entire career and his numbers show it. Despite being tough on left-handed hitters, de la Rosa has struggled against righties, allowing nearly a 33% hard hit rate to right-handers in his career to go with a .347 wOBA against. Should Buster Posey find himself in the lineup today, he’s perhaps the top hitter on the slate and at the very least the top catcher. I’d put together a list of players I’ll be using from this game, but it would just be composed of the starting lineups from each team. Literally every player is in play here.
If Not Coors, Where?
Ideally the piece wouldn’t be broken down like this, but I’m forced to treat Coors Field as if it is in a different league for hitters (which it essentially is). If you’re trying to embrace contrarian life or are just looking to find other viable hitters, there are other places you can shift your eyes. Whenever Wily Peralta is pitching, it is a good bet the opposing team is shaping up for a nice game. Peralta faces the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium today and while the park shift is in favor for Peralta, I’m not opposed to sliding a couple Cardinals in lineups. Left-handed hitters put together a .376 wOBA against Peralta last year and Matt Carpenter and Jeremy Hazelbaker both will have the platoon advantage in their favor at the top of the order today. Hazelbaker is due for regression and is priced up around the industry, but makes for a solid secondary option to pair with Carpenter or to fill in a stack. Carpenter on the other hand put together a .394 wOBA to right-handers last season and flexed his guns, showing off a .249 ISO while generating 42% flyballs against right-handers last season. Despite the suppression of power that comes with Busch Stadium, I like his chances for a great day.
If looking for stacks outside of Coors Field – I’d rank the following contrarian stacks as my favorites.
- Cardinals (Early)
- Nationals (Early)
- Rangers (Late)
- Blue Jays (Late)
- Astros (Late)
PITCHING?!
Baseball fans are being spoiled today as more than a few of the game’s best young pitchers are taking the mound. Once again, I’m going to rank the top five pitchers that I’ll be focusing on for cash games and then give a little bit of information about each of the five. Luckily today, as opposed to Tuesday, there is more than one option!
To see the rest of this article, as well as the best DFS content you can find that’s created four millionaires, click here.
Image via Getty