2016 NFL Rookie Predictions: Dak Prescott lacks polish – Yahoo Sports (blog)
Bench presses have been counted, cone drills have been clocked, and tape has been reviewed. While NFL scouts have been scribbling in their notebooks for months, fantasy owners are just now examining this year’s incoming class. Through the end of March, I’ll be breaking down some under the radar prospects at QB, RB, and WR. Once April arrives, we’ll tackle the big names. All of this in the hopes of keeping fans of the virtual game fully informed and a step ahead of the competition. Last week I kicked things off with Paxton Lynch, Keith Marshall, and Paul McRoberts. Today’s QB under the microscope is Mississippi State’s Dak Prescott.
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College Highlights: In possession of 38 school records, Rayne Dakota “Dak” Prescott is quite possibly Mississippi State’s most statistically impressive product. A top-ten contender in the 2014 Heisman Trophy voting, Prescott played in four collegiate bowl games (and was named MVP in the 2013 Liberty Bowl as well as the 2015 Belk Bowl). The first player in Bulldogs’ history to accumulate over 400 combined yards in one game (over 300 passing and over 100 rushing), Prescott also scored the fourth most touchdowns in SEC history.
Pluses: At 6-foot-2 and 226 pounds, Prescott boasts a robust frame that can stand up to pressure. A dual-threat QB who can be used at the goal line, the Louisiana native racked up 24 rushing scores over his last two seasons as the team’s full-time starter. Additionally in possession of a strong arm, Prescott’s delivery is quick and, when given a clean pocket, accurate. Touted as being a natural leader and quick study, scouts have noted Prescott’s increased comfort in the passing game and mental understanding of the game’s nuance.
Minuses: Still developing as a passer, Prescott’s game lacks consistency. His mechanics are all over the place as he scampers well, but has trouble planting his feet and throwing from his center. As a result, his accuracy – especially down field – is compromised. Additionally, his progressions feel slow. While his body overall is quick, his arm is less decisive. His passing game is one-dimensional, full of speedy strikes, but missing the ability or willingness to lead his targets or test DBs deep.
Pro-Comp(s): Tim Tebow, Tavaris Jackson, David Garrard
Team Fits: Seattle Seahawks, Denver Broncos, Buffalo Bills
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Fearless Forecast: After being named the Most Outstanding Player at the Senior Bowl, performing admirably at the combine, and charming would-be suitors via team interviews, Prescott’s stock was on the rise. Yet this positive momentum was stunted in early March when the 22-year-old was arrested for suspicion of DUI. The Bulldog has built up enough goodwill that the booking won’t severely alter his perceived value, but the slip in judgment was obviously poorly timed.
Despite boasting a unique and varied skill set, Prescott’s lack of polish in the passing game will prevent him from being anything more than a two or three year developmental pick. Best suited to learn behind an already established QB (ideally, Russell Wilson), the Louisiana native could repay dynasty owners in time, but won’t be useful to season-long managers this fall.
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