The Numbers Game: Ranks: 8-cat, 9-cat & Points
The NBA season is more than halfway done, excluding the playoffs, and it’s a good time to look back at players’ overall values. This column will deal with three fantasy formats — 8-cat leagues, 9-cat leagues, and Yahoo’s default points leagues. This is not a projection of rest-of-season values (you can find that in the Season Pass), but a summary of current player values from the start of the season through Feb. 1.
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There’s no preamble necessary, except to say that these ranks are based on z-scores for qualifying players (minimum 10 games played and 15 minutes per game). They are also per-game values. This is, of course, intended as a way to reflect on players’ performance to date…if you’re more interested in current production, or future expectations, you can find that in recent columns from Mike Gallagher (here), Steve Alexander (here), or my recent live chat transcript (here).
We’ll begin with 8-cat ranks:
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Guys like T.J. McConnell and Jeremy Lamb make the top-150 cut by virtue of some strong stretches earlier in the season, and someone like Al Jefferson can make the list because it’s per-game value, not cumulative (his low position still indicates how inconsistent he was while healthy). Gorgui Dieng has weathered some ups and downs to carve out top-75 value, as have under-appreciated guys like Avery Bradley, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Otto Porter, George Hill and Kent Bazemore.
On the other end of the spectrum we find some high-profile guys struggling outside of the top-120: this less than illustrious group includes Joe Johnson, Derrick Rose, Arron Afflalo and Enes Kanter. Chandler Parsons also has a low rank for season-long value, though as his owners can tell you he’s been red-hot in recent weeks — in his past 10 games he’s averaging 20.1 points on 52.9 percent shooting, with 6.7 rebounds and 2.3 assists.
The top 50 players for season-long 8-cat value include 12 point guards, six shooting guards, 12 small forwards, 11 power forwards, and nine centers.
Let’s jump to the list for 9-cat values, before taking a look at points-league rankings:
With turnovers as the only difference between this list and 8-cat, there are a few predictable shifts in value. The total number of point guards making the list drops from 39 to 33, and high-turnover guys like DeMarcus Cousins and John Wall take a substantial dive in the ranks. For those who might be curious, here are the average stats for this top-150 group:
Points: 14.2
3-pointers: 1.1
Rebounds: 5.5
Assists: 3.0
Steals: 1.1
Blocks: 0.7
FG%: 46.1
FT%: 77.3
Turnovers: 1.8
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