New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos Sports Handicapper Preview – SportsBlog.com (blog)
NFL conference finals odds are up. As good of a game as any for handicappers to bet this week in football is the match between New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos.
The Las Vegas Strip and offshore betting odds has the New England Pats laying -3 and -115 with a total of 44.5. It opened as New England -3.5 and +100 with the total at 44. The public is wont to bet on road favorites but less so in the postseason. However 79 percent of wagers are on the Patriots with 65 percent pounding on the over.
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Pro bettors bring into play distinct key handicapping key performance indicators than the losing donk. Here is an analysis of that game from a wagering perspective. To contrast yards per rush on offense, the pre-eminence scientifically goes to Denver by .5. Passing yards per completion is another gage consumed by Vegas whales. The lead is owned by New England by .5. Perhaps the most made use of number by skilled gamblers is yards per point. From the offensive examination the better metrics are is in the column of New England by 3.0.
Onward to strategic records on the defensive side of the ball. The yards per rush guide says the best run defense in this game anyway is Denver by .7. The better-quality passing yards per completion data on defense give the omnipotence to Broncos by 1.0. In terms of yards per point, the better of the two defenses is New England forcing 1.5 more. Turnover ratio favors New England by 12.
Yards per point is determined by dividing total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.
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Spread trends (all records against the spread): Denver 8-3 off spread loss. New England is 3-11 on grass.
Over/under angles: New England over 57-27 to AFC. Denver over 36-16 after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
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