Green Bay Packers at Arizona Cardinals Free ATS Pick Jan 16, 2016. The 11-5 Green Bay Packers head into the 13-3 Arizona Cardinals for this AFC Divisional matchup today Jan 16, 2016 on the grass of University of Phoenix Stadium. Kick off time is scheduled for 8:15 PM ET.

Betting Odds
Point Spread: Cardinals -7
Total Line: 49.5

Green Bay’s offense ended a run of bad play with a 35-18 trouncing of Washington last week. QB Aaron Rodgers was 21-36 for 210 yards and 2 TDs. He was sacked once, a far cry from his last game against the Cardinals (8 sacks). Green Bay ran for 141 yards as a team. The defense allowed only 84 rushing yards, recovered a fumble and had 6 sacks. This is a major step up in class for them and the o-line needs to be at its best.

Arizona had a 9-game winning streak ended in Week 17 by Seattle. QB Carson Palmer threw for 4,671 yards and 35 TDs. WR Larry Fitzgerald had a renaissance season playing in the slot for the first time (108-1,215-9) while WR John Brown emerged as a big-play threat (65-1,003-7). Several different RBs contributed to the team averaging 120 ypg on the ground and a 4.2 ypc. The defense held opponents to 91.2 rushing yards per game and totaled 36 sacks.

Green Bay Packers at Arizona Cardinals Betting Trends

Green Bay is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 playoff games.
The Packers have recorded 7 overs and 3 unders in their last 10 road games.
Arizona is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 playoff games, since 2008.
The Cardinals have produced 7 overs and 3 unders in their last 10 home games.

Consensus Pick (ATS)
Green Bay: 40%
Arizona: 60%

Free NFL Pick

The Packers offense exploded for 35 points in the Wild Card round with a balanced attack for the first time in three games, rushing for 141 yards and passing for 205 yards. That wasn’t the case when they played the Cardinals two games back who held them to a paltry 77 yards through the air. They were without their starting left tackle David Bakhtiari in that game and Arizona exploited that weakness sacking QB Aaron Rodgers 9 times. He is expected to return this week and should make a big difference on the pass protection. The Cards ran back two fumbles for TD’s in that game putting the game away in the 3rd. The Packers top CB Sam Shields also missed the last meeting and is also expected to be back which is a big improvement over the rookies who have been manning his spot. I look for this game to be much closer this time around and feel comfortable taking the points and backing the Packers.

Take the Green Bay Packers +7

Special thanks to Rich Crew for his analysis and point spread prediction on this NFC Divisional match-up. You can get more of his against the spread picks free at Sports Betting Stats