NFL Picks, Week 10: Packers crush Lions, Jets handle biz vs. Rex Ryan – CBSSports.com
Nearly a clean sweep last week — the only loss from Week 9 was because Blaine Gabbert mauled the Falcons? Football is the most unpredictable thing in the world. But we still had a strong week so let’s keep the roll going this week.
Packers -11.5 vs Lions: The last time Aaron Rodgers was sitting on a two-game losing streak? 2010! Oddly enough both of them were home games. Unlike, you know, this “streak” where he lost to two of the five best defenses in the league on a brutal back-to-back road trip. He’s outstanding at home, 10-2 against the Lions in his career with 22 touchdowns and five interceptions. I’ll buy into some pent-up R-E-L-A-X anger getting vented against a reeling Detroit team this week.
Facing the Lions almost always leaves Aaron Rodgers smiling. (USATSI)
Titans +4.5 vs Panthers: Carolina is undefeated in real life and also undefeated against the spread on the road, going 3-0 against the number this year. This line is a little TOO fishy though right? Carolina’s unbeaten and the Titans already fired their coach! It should be a touchdown or higher. No one’s higher on this Panthers team legitimacy as a Super Bowl contender than me, but they aren’t blowing teams out and they’re coming off a massive stretch against PHI-IND-GB at home. Leaving the comfort of Charlotte lets them slip up in a close game against the surprisingly effective Marcus Mariota.
Buccaneers -1.5 vs. Cowboys: No chance this game is a blowout or anything, but I’m gonna take one more shot at betting against Matt Cassel with a surprisingly low line. The Cowboys know this game could be make or break for them and should be motivated, but this is a decent Bucs team! Jameis Winston is playing well (61 percent completions, no interceptions the last four games), Doug Martin and Charles Sims should be able to run the ball well. Tampa is doing a good job taking the game off of Winston’s shoulder and he’s responding by being more efficient (if not a little more limited). Bounce back game for Mike Evans catching the ball and a somewhat surprising Tampa win. Dallas is 1-5 against the spread in their current six-game losing streak.
Jets -2.5 vs. Bills: A lack of Antonio Cromartie is concerning and when Tyrod Taylor plays the Bills are much more dangerous than they are with EJ Manuel. It’s not even close. But this stuff with Rex Ryan making IK Enemkpali the captain against his old team and hogging the spotlight in a very Rex way and just generally acting like he’s not concerned with the Jets while doing all this stuff? It’s what we in the South call “showing your ass.” Meanwhile New York is quietly going about their business in a very Todd Bowles-ian manner. On a short week with the Bills having expensed a lot of emotional energy against the Dolphins give me the team sitting in the corner doing work and not making a ton of noise.
Cardinals +3.5 vs. Seahawks: Both teams coming off a bye so no huge advantage there. And this is in Seattle so it’s a little sketchy, but Bruce Arians’ teams play Seattle well on the road, losing by 13 points last season despite starting Drew Stanton (they kept it close until the end when Marshawn Lynch literally ran away with it). In 2013 Arizona WON in Seattle even though Carson Palmer threw a bunch of picks. The defense should limit what Seattle can do and the offense has enough weapons to put up points.
Last Week ATS: 8-5
Season Best Bets: 29-16
Season ATS: 70-62
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