Big Board: Lacy takes a tumble
The Big Board takes into consideration past returns, current performance and expected future gains in determining who should be included among the top 50 fantasy football players. Essentially, the Big Board is a cheat sheet designed for a fantasy owner who is planning to participate in a draft today. Yahoo! Sports Fantasy Football default scoring settings are used as the baseline for the Big Board.
[Yahoo Daily Fantasy Football: First place wins $100K in our $500K contest for Week 10]
| Big Board 50: Football | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Pos. | vs ECR | Stock |
| 1. Todd Gurley (STL) | RB | 0 | Averaging 131 rush yards in past 5 games, and starting to see some play in the pass game (23 rec. YPG in past 3) |
| 2. Devonta Freeman (ATL) | RB | 0 | Teams starting to figure out how to contain him on the ground a bit (3 YPC in past 2), but his pass game work has more than made up for it (55 rec. YPG, 1 TD catch in past 2) |
| 3. Adrian Peterson (MIN) | RB | 0 | Leads RBs in rush attempt and rushing yards – only his TD production (4) has left owners wanting, especially as he he is just 1-for-11 in converting goal line carries |
| 4. Julio Jones (ATL) | WR | +1 | Arguably most complete WR in the league at this moment (heads to W10 bye as No. 1 WR in FAN PTS) – only potential buzz kill is likely faceoff w/ CAR CB Josh Norman in Weeks 14 and 16 |
| 5. DeAndre Hopkins (HOU) | WR | +3 | No. 2 FAN WR thru 1st 8 weeks, but has been nearly Julio Jones’ equal – has 15+ FAN PTS in 6 of 8 games |
| 6. Antonio Brown (PIT) | WR | +4 | W9 (17 catches, 284 rec. yards, 22 rush) was best fantasy line by a player that didn’t score a TD (h/t Pro-Football-Reference) – has faired well w/ backup QB L. Jones (if no Big Ben in W10) |
| 7. Rob Gronkowski (NWE) | TE | -1 | Coming off worst FAN PTS tally (4/47/0) since W2 of ’14, but with 7 TDs and 4 100-yard game this season, I think we can look the other way this time |
| 8. Odell Beckham Jr. (NYG) | WR | -1 | Topped 100 yards for 4th time in W9 – has 90+ yards in 13 of past 18 games, and 19 TD catches in 21 career games |
| 9. Marshawn Lynch (SEA) | RB | -5 | Excluding his early-exit game vs. CHI in W3, averaging 10.9 FAN PPG in other 5 games (not full Beast-Mode, but top 20 RB level) – Expect much better after W9 bye recharge |
| 10. Lamar Miller (MIA) | RB | +1 | Top FAN RB since Philbin firing, with 6 TDs and an average of 132.3 YFS per game in that 4-game span (Weeks 6-9) – ROS schedule not daunting |
| 11. Mark Ingram (NOR) | RB | -2 | Like Freeman (above), his emergence in the passing game has saved his fantasy bacon a few times – workload is massive as he’s rendered CJ Spiller obsolete in pass situations |
| 12. Alshon Jeffery (CHI) | WR | +10 | Most catches (9.3) and Rec. Yards (138) per game in past month – is in a D. Hopkins situation as the clear go-to offensive weapon on team w/ bad defense (read: have to throw a lot) |
| 13. Dez Bryant (DAL) | WR | +14 | Stepped up w/ big-time 5/104/1 line in W9 despite QB Cassel – has top 10 easy ROS sched for WR, and QB Romo expected back for all but 1 of those games (W10) |
| 14. Matt Forte (CHI) | RB | +31 | MCL injury knocked him out of MNF in W9, but has chance to return in Week 10 (Week 11 worst-case scenario) – STL next up on schedule, so not the worst week for a DNP |
| 15. Allen Robinson (JAC) | WR | +18 | 17 catches of 20+ yards is tops in NFL, and he has most WR FAN PTS since Week 2 – ROS schedule looks very nice, inc. BAL in W10 and NO in W16 (Championship!) |
| 16. Charcandrick West (KAN) | RB | +15 | 18.6 FAN PPG over past 2 contests, in RB friendly system (Andy Reid’s record speaks for itself – West already No. 2 RB in RZ targets)) and ROS schedule is easiest among RBs |
| 17. Brandon Marshall (NYJ) | WR | +9 | All he does is find a way to deliver his owners 10+ FAN PTS (something he’s done in 7 of 8 contests) – he’s simply elite, and it’s never mattered what team (or QB) he has |
| 18. Tom Brady (NWE) | QB | -6 | In a year where QB position stands out for its inconsistency, Brady has been as steady as they come, finishing among top 7 at QB in 7 of his 8 games (299/2/1 line in W9 landed him at No. 13) |
| 19. Doug Martin (TAM) | RB | +5 | Has struggled past 2 games (3.0 YPC, fumble lost in W9) – That said, can’t drink too much Haterade here as he’s the No. 7 fantasy RB, and looking at 7th-easiest ROS schedule (for RBs) |
| 20. DeMarco Murray (PHI) | RB | +8 | Top 5 fantasy RB since W5, w/ 3 TDs and an avg. of 118.5 YFS in that 4-game span – but backup RB Mathews is top 15 in that span, and his usual 10-12 touches caps Murray’s upside |
| 21. Aaron Rodgers (GNB) | QB | 0 | Just posted 2nd-best FAN PTS tally of ’15 in W9 vs solid CAR pass D – finally, schedule lightens up w/ 4 straight games vs NFC North |
| 22. A.J. Green (CIN) | WR | -8 | Major talent, major inconsistency – in past 11 games, has an average 21 FAN PPG in 3 of them and an average of 5.5 in the other 8 games – faces DEN in fantasy championship week (W16) |
| 23. Julian Edelman (NWE) | WR | -5 | Already has career-best 7 TD catches (in 8 games) – loss of RB D. Lewis should mean even more catches for Edelman – currently averaging 7.1 catches per game |
| 24. Latavius Murray (OAK) | RB | -9 | Was on a nice roll (5.7 YPC over past 3 games) before concussion in W9 – should miss only 1 game, at most, and then he’ll get to take advantage of a top 10 ROS schedule for RBs |
| 25. Christopher Ivory (NYJ) | RB | -12 | Has hit the skids on the ground in past 3 (combined 84 rush yards on 55 carries), but bailed out by 3 TDs in that span – issues (health, O line) will be helped by 6th-easiest ROS sched for RBs |
| 26. Calvin Johnson (DET) | WR | -6 | Getting his Megatron mojo back as he’s averaged 19 YPC in past 4 games after just 9.4 YPC thru 1st 4 games – has NOLA and SF in Week 15-16, a major bonus if you can make it that far |
| 27. Demaryius Thomas (DEN) | WR | -10 | Peyton’s age-related deficiencies are making pass TDs hard to come by, but DT (1 TD) is getting by thanks to an average of 93.1 YPG |
| 28. Drew Brees (NOR) | QB | +15 | Has got his groove back since early season woes (health, and otherwise) – since W3 DNP, is No. 2 QB in FAN PPG (trails Brady 25.5 to 25.4 in that Weeks 4-9 span) |
| 29. Larry Fitzgerald (ARI) | WR | +1 | Sell-high time? Not a bad idea considering his ROS schedule (toughest for a WR), WR J. Brown’s emerging role, and the fact that Fitz is no spring chicken (32) |
| 30. Frank Gore (IND) | RB | -11 | The Grinder has at least 75 YFS in 7 straight games, and has avg. 97 YFS and scored a TD over his past 2 vs stout opposition (DEN, CAR) – after W10 bye, stretch run schedule sets up nicely |
| 31. Danny Woodhead (SDG) | RB | +21 | Tons of pass attempts in SD, and plenty of injuries at skill positions, have created an extremely ripe environment for Woodhead – leads RBs in rec. yds (522) and is No. 3 RB in PPR setup |
| 32. LeGarrette Blount (NWE) | RB | +23 | Typically does his best work down the stretch (5.1 YPC mark in December) and with/ RB D. Lewis (ACL) out for the year, a more featured workload likely |
| 33. Justin Forsett (BAL) | RB | -17 | Avg. healthy 20 touches, 88 YFS per game, but just 2 TDs is buzz kill – BAL loss of WR Smith could lead to even more work in pass game – toughest sched for RB in playoff weeks (14-16) |
| 34. LeSean McCoy (BUF) | RB | -9 | Plenty to worry about for Shady owners, like a sore shoulder, a budding star in backup RB Karlos Williams and 1 of the toughest ROS schedules for a RB |
| 35. Chris Johnson (ARI) | RB | +9 | Only Big 3 of Gurley/Freeman/Peterson have more rush yards since W2 (avg 91.3 rush YPG in that 7 game span) – 2nd-toughest ROS schedule for RBs could certainly put a damper on things |
| 36. Emmanuel Sanders (DEN) | WR | -7 | Rock solid W9 line 6/90/1 came w/ a dinged up ankle – facing a KC D that has allowed most FAN PPG to WRs (inc. 8/87/2 to Sanders in W2) should help ease his pain |
| 37. Cam Newton (CAR) | QB | +16 | 2nd only to Brady in FAN PPG at QB despite career-low 53.7% Completion Rate – has TD run in 8 of past 11 reg-season games |
| 38. Randall Cobb (GNB) | WR | -15 | Finally ended his scoring (and yardage) drought w/ 99-yard, TD effort vs. CAR in W9 |
| 39. Amari Cooper (OAK) | WR | -7 | Has 10+ FAN PTS in 4 games and under 5 FAN PPG in his other 3 contests – QB Carr giving other WR (Crabtree) a lot of love lately |
| 40. Michael Crabtree (OAK) | WR | +34 | Only Antonio Brown has scored more FAN PTS at WR over past 3 weeks than Crabs – Getting 10 targets per game compared to 9 per game for Amari |
| 41. Allen Hurns (JAC) | WR | +21 | TD in 6 straight (3 100-yard games in that span) – opposing Ds can’t seem to keep him out of end zone, but maybe his sprained foot will (? mark for W10) |
| 42. Mike Evans (TAM) | WR | -8 | Another WR I’d consider off-loading – leads WR in drops (10) and has lowest catch rate (43%) among WRs – TB 5th-fewest pass attempts means a small pie to split when V-Jax, ASJ return |
| 43. Philip Rivers (SDG) | QB | +3 | Avg. 43+ pass att., and pushing NFL record pace in pass yards – in a situation conducive to pass-heavy leaning, and ROS sched (outside DEN in W13) is undaunting |
| 44. Eddie Lacy (GNB) | RB | -7 | Ok, he’s probably consumed a little too much of that fine Wisconsin cheese, but GB understands his between-the-tackles importance down the stretch – ROS sched is softer than Brie |
| 45. Tyler Eifert (CIN) | TE | -3 | With 9 TDs in 8 games, he’s an upper middle class version of Gronk (both in terms of talent and environment) |
| 46. Greg Olsen (CAR) | TE | -5 | Top TE in FAN PPG since Week 2 is set-up for success down the stretch as he’ll face the 2nd-easiest ROS schedule at the TE position |
| 47. Stefon Diggs (MIN) | WR | +18 | Comparisons to Antonio Brown took a hit as Diggs laid 1st egg in W9 (42 yards to Brown’s 284!), but matchup (vs. STL) makes it forgivable – |
| 48. Martavis Bryant (PIT) | WR | +6 | He’s like an elite TE – 13 TDs in 15 career games, but under 50 yards in 10 of those games |
| 49. Brandin Cooks (NOR) | WR | +2 | Riding the Brees wave to the tune of a 12.5 FAN PPG since Week 5 (No. 15 WR in that 5-game span) – ROS schedule shows few speed bumps |
| 50. Andy Dalton (CIN) | QB | -11 | On pace for a career-high 36 TD passes, but he’ll have to earn that mark as he’ll face the 3rd-toughest ROS schedule for QBs |
Note: “vs. ECR” compares my rank to the Expert Consensus Rank (ECR) as compiled by FantasyPros.
Dropped Out: Dion Lewis, RB, NE (ACL); Jeremy Hill, Cin RB; Jonathan Stewart, Car, RB; T.J. Yeldon, Jac, RB; T.Y. Hilton, Ind, WR; Ben Roethlisberger, Pit QB (foot); Carson Palmer, Ari, QB
ON THE BUBBLE:
(QBs) Ben Roethlisberger, Pit QB (foot); Carson Palmer, Ari, QB Russell Wilson, Sea; Andrew Luck, Ind (kidney)
(RBs) Darren McFadden, Dal; Giovani Bernard, Cin; Jeremy Hill, Cin RB; Jonathan Stewart, Car, RB; T.J. Yeldon, Jac, RB; C.J. Anderson, Den; Ryan Mathews, Phi; Carlos Hyde, SF (foot);
(WRs) Eric Decker, NYJ; T.Y. Hilton, Ind; John Brown, Ari; James Jones, GB; Jarvis Landry, Mia; Jeremy Maclin, KC; Rishard Matthews, Mia; DeSean Jackson, Was; Tavon Austin, StL;
(TEs) Gary Barnidge, Cle; Antonio Gates, SD; Travis Kelce, KC; Jimmy Graham, Sea; Jordan Reed, Was; Ben Watson, NO
