Illinois Fighting Illini at Penn State Nittany Lions Point Spread Pick. The 6-2 Penn State Nittany Lions play host to the 4-3 Illinois Fighting Illini on Saturday, Oct 31, 2015 for this week nine college football matchup on the grass of Beaver Stadium. Kick-off is scheduled for 12:00PM ET.
Point Spread: Penn State -6.5
Total Line: 43
Illinois fell to 4-3 on the season with a 24-13 loss to Wisconsin in their last game and they are at 4-3 ATS after not covering as a 4.5-point underdog.
In their last game Penn State moved to 6-2 on the season with a 31-30 win over Maryland and they are at 3-5 ATS after not covering as a 5.5-point favorite.
Last season at Illinois the Fighting Illini beat the Nittany Lions 16-14 and they covered as a 5-point underdog. When these 2 teams met last at Penn State 2 seasons ago the Nittany Lions beat the Fighting Illini 24-17 in OT, but did not cover as a 13-point favorite.
Illinois ranks 84th in total offense and 33rd in total defense and Penn State ranks 98th in total offense and 23rd in total defense.
Penn State at Illinois Trends/Angles
ILL is 4-14 ATS in their last 18 road games.
ILL is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
ILL has an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.
PSU is 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 conference games.
PSU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
PSU has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
This season Illinois has an O/U record of 2-5 and Penn State has an O/U record of 2-6.
Illinois is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Penn State.
Illinois is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games against Penn State.
The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games between these 2 teams.
10/29/15 RB Josh Ferguson Shoulder is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. Penn State
10/29/15 WR Marchie Murdock Thigh is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Penn State
10/25/15 DL Brandon Roberts Undisclosed “?” Saturday vs. Penn State
10/25/15 TE Caleb Reams Undisclosed “?” Saturday vs. Penn State
10/25/15 DL Jamal Milan Undisclosed “?” Saturday vs. Penn State
10/25/15 LB Sean Adesanya Undisclosed “?” Saturday vs. Penn State
10/09/15 DB Patrick Nelson Undisclosed out for season
09/22/15 TE Tyler White ACL out indefinitely
09/15/15 TE Tim Clary Hand out indefinitely
09/15/15 OL Zach Heath Leg expected to miss 2-3 weeks
08/26/15 DL Teko Powell Foot out for season
08/24/15 RB Dre Brown Knee out for season
08/24/15 WR Justin Hardee Foot out indefinitely
08/24/15 WR Mike Dudek Knee out indefinitely
08/24/15 RB Reggie Corbin Shoulder out for season
09/24/15 OL Andrew Nelson Knee out indefinitely
09/12/15 TE Kyle Carter Undisclosed out indefinitely
09/06/15 LB Nyeem Wartman-White Knee out for season
Consensus Pick (ATS)
Free College Football Pick
The Nittany Lions run defense has shown some cracks in recent games allowing 315 to Ohio State and 241 to Maryland, but when they have faced average to poor rushing attacks they have performed well/ A perfect example of this would be Indiana (79 yards), SD State (101 yards), Rutgers (43 yards) and Buffalo (69 yards). Illinois fits in that group averaging a 110th ranked 125.7 yards per game. That’s going to be a big problem for the Illini who are unlikely to have a lot of success passing the ball against the Penn State defense that ranks 10th in the nation in passing defense.
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