Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction and Betting Odds. The101-70 Kansas City Royals are set to take on the 97-74 Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario today October 21, 2015, first pitch is scheduled 4:07 PM
Betting Odds
Moneylines: Royals +125 / Blue Jays -140
O/U: 9 runs
Pitching Match Up
Kansas City: Edinson Volquez (13-9, 3.55 ERA)
Toronto: Marco Marco Estrada (13-8, 3.13 ERA)
In their last games: In Game 4 of this ALCS yesterday the Royals beat the Blue Jays 14-2.
The Royals lead this best of 7 series 3-1.
The Royals head into Toronto for the 5th game of the ALCS and with a win today they can close out the series. The 13-9 Edinson Volquez goes for the Royals and the 13-8 Marco Estrada goes for the Blue Jays. The Blue Jays open at -140 with a line sitting at 9 runs. The Royals are 1 game away from advancing to the World Series for a 2nd straight season after scoring 14 runs on 15 hits in yesterday’s 14-2 blowout. In the regular season they ranked 7th in runs scored and in the 4 games in this series they have scored 33 runs and are hitting .331 as a team. Kansas City ranks 10th in the Majors in team ERA. The Blue Jays have their backs against the wall down 3-1 in this series and the main reason has been their pitching, which ranks 12th in team ERA and has an ERA of 8.47 in this series. They have the highest scoring team in the Majors, but besides the Game 3 win where they scored 11 runs they have only totaled 5 runs in the 3 losses. In the last 2 postseasons the Royals are 4-1 in games where they can eliminate their opponent.
Kansas City at Toronto Key Betting Trends
Kansas City is 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
The Royals are 7-2 in their last 9 road games.
Kansas City has an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.
Toronto is 44-20 in their last 64 home games.
The Blue Jays are 37-14 in their last 51 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Toronto has an Over record of 5-0-3 in their last 8 home games.
Key Player Injuries
KANSAS CITY ROYALS
Tim Collins P 60-Day Disabled List
Brian Flynn P 60-Day Disabled List
Jason Vargas P 60-Day Disabled List
TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Brett Cecil P Out For Season (calf)
Maicer Izturis 2B 60-Day Disabled List
Michael Saunders OF 60-Day Disabled List
Devon Travis 2B 60-Day Disabled List
Consensus Pick
Kansas City: 12%
Toronto: 88%
Free MLB Pick
The Royals send Edinson Volquez to try to finish off this series and he had a great start in Game 1 not giving up any earned runs in 6 innings of work in a 5-0 win. Kansas City had lost his previous postseason start in the previous series facing the Houston Astros. He had an ERA of 8.76 in his previous 3 post-season starts and he has lost both of his career starts facing the Blue Jays in Toronto. Overall, the Royals are 21-9 in Volquez’s last 30 starts. Marco Estrada took the loss in Game 1 when he gave up 3 earned runs in 5 innings in the 5-0 loss. The Blue Jays were down 0-2 in the ALDS to Texas and in Game 3 of that series Estrada was on the hill and only gave up 1 run in 6 innings in the 5-1 Toronto win. Overall, the Blue Jays are 17-8 in Estrada’s last 25 starts and have won 5 of their last 7 games at home with him on the hill.
I think the Royals will win this series, but they will do so at home, as Estrada will have a good outing and like Game 3 the Blue Jays bats will respond and Toronto will win today and force a Game 6 in Kansas City.
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