NFL Week 6 picks: Eagles over Giants, Browns upset Broncos – CBSSports.com
You know it was a crazy week in the NFL when three games go to overtime. And as if that’s not crazy enough, one of those games was decided by science and another one earned free liquor for everyone in Washington DC.
That was Week 5 in a nutshell.
I knew things were weird when astrophysicist Neil deGrasse Tyson started tweeting about football, which actually wasn’t that weird for me because I only follow him for his football tweets. According to deGrasse Tyson, the only reason the Bengals beat the Seahawks on Sunday is because Cincinnati’s stadium isn’t orientated on a North-South axis like most other stadiums in the NFL.
What does that have to do with anything?
If the Bengals stadium was orientated on a North-South Axis, Mike Nugent‘s 42-yard field goal in overtime probably would’ve missed, instead of hitting the left upright and going in.
In the N. Hemisphere, Earth’s Coriolis force deflects airborne north-south projectiles to the right. About 1/2-in per 50 yds.
— Neil deGrasse Tyson (@neiltyson) October 11, 2015
The @Bengals stadium isn’t oriented exactly North-South. And the field goal was 42-yds. Yielding a 1/3-in deflection, not 1/2
— Neil deGrasse Tyson (@neiltyson) October 11, 2015
If you ask me, the Seahawks should have filed a protest. You play hard for 60 minutes and then you lose because an architect got drunk and decided to orientate a stadium slightly off the North-South Axis. (Note: I don’t know if a drunk architect actually designed the Bengals stadium)
Anyway, this woman should probably be working in the Seahawks front office because she has the right idea.
@neiltyson Can the margin in deflection be cause for a rematch? Because that’s what matters to our Seahawks. @Bengals
— Keira Soleore (@KeiraSoleore) October 11, 2015
REMATCH!
On the other hand, I thought the planets would have to align for the Bengals to ever win a playoff game, so maybe this is the sign instead. Maybe that 25-year drought is going to end in January.
By the way, the Bengals weren’t the only lucky ones on Sunday. Everyone in DC who lives near this bar was also lucky. It was giving away free shots anytime Kirk Cousins threw an interception, which is pretty much every time he plays.
This bar is going to be giving away shots all night #Redskins #Falcons http://t.co/oYl37jTtPq pic.twitter.com/CwvdyOwd6x
— John Breech (@johnbreech) October 11, 2015
That give away basically turned into a going-out-of-business sale in overtime after Cousins threw a walk-off Pick-6 against the Falcons.
You didn’t come here to find out where you could get free shots though, or maybe you did. Either way, it’s time to get to the Week 6 picks.
Before we get to the picks, here’s your weekly reminder that you can check out the picks from every CBSSports.com NFL Expert by clicking here.
The reason you should click over and check out the other experts this week is because Jason La Canfora has basically turned into Rain Man. The CBS Sports NFL Insider, who you can see every Sunday on The NFL Today, went 10-4 against the spread in Week 5. That was after going 12-3 in Week 4 and 12-4 in Week 3. That’s 34-11 over the past three weeks.
Whenever my mid-life crisis eventually hits and I decide to move to Vegas, La Canfora’s picks will be funding my penthouse room at the Bellagio.
On the other hand, my picks will likely be funding a small room at an off-strip motel that hasn’t passed a health certification since 2001.
Speaking of my picks, let’s get to them.
Week 6 picks
Will Denver be able to handle a visit to the Dawg Pound? (Instagram/@Pumpkinnation)
Denver (5-0) at Cleveland (2-3), 1 p.m. ET (CBS): I never thought I’d live to see the day where Josh McCown and Peyton Manning are about to play against each other and I think the team with McCown actually has the advantage at quarterback. I also never thought I’d see the day Taylor Swift would get 50 million followers on Instagram, BUT BOTH HAPPENED THIS WEEK.
My Instagram just hit 50 million, thanks so much guys. Though I’m pretty sure it’s just because I have cute cats. pic.twitter.com/e2ZacE66JK
— Taylor Swift (@taylorswift13) October 8, 2015
Her cats are amazing.
Back to the Manning-McCown debate though. If you were starting an NFL team tomorrow and your only two choices at quarterback were McCown or Manning, you’d have to go McCown. You could also go with neither guy and just run the Wildcat, but that doesn’t help me make my point here.
The Broncos offense has been so bad with Manning under center this season that the Broncos defense has actually SCORED AS MANY TOUCHDOWNS IN THE SECOND HALF AS THE BRONCOS OFFENSE THIS YEAR. Denver’s offense and Denver’s defense have each scored three second-half touchdowns this season. The Broncos might as well just call Brian Griese and bring him back to run the offense.
Just because Manning’s struggling, though, that doesn’t mean Denver’s going to lose to Cleveland, RIGHT?
There’s a lot of reasons to pick against the Browns here. For one, they’re the Browns. There’s also the fact the Cleveland hasn’t beaten Denver since 1990. Also, McCown has a slightly injured ankle. On the other hand, the Broncos likely won’t have DeMarcus Ware and they WILL have Manning, which is practically a liability at this point. Browns 21-20 over Broncos.
Even Seahawks fans get ‘suited’ up for home games. (Instagram/KitKatFisher)
Carolina (4-0) at Seattle (2-3), 4:05 p.m. ET (Fox): Here’s a list of teams that would be undefeated right now if they played the Panthers schedule: Everyone. Well, not the Jaguars. And probably not the Texans, Saints or Bucs because the Panthers have played those teams and if they had to play the Panthers schedule, they’d have to play themselves, which I don’t even think would be possible.
What I think I’m trying to say here is that four wins over four teams that have a combined record of 5-15 on the season just isn’t that impressive. I know, the Panthers don’t make their schedule, but until Carolina beats a team that’s not in one of the NFL’s “South” divisions, I’m not going to be sold on them.
Something I am sold on though? Russell Wilson playing at home and/or against the NFC South.
Not only is the Seahawks quarterback 24-2 in 26 career starts at home, but he also has a 6-0 regular season record against the NFC South. If you decide to watch the game on Sunday, get ready for zero offense. These two teams generally leave the scoring at home when they play each other. The last three regular season games, all Seahawks wins, have ended with the following scores: 13-9, 12-7, 16-9. Seahawks 20-13 over Panthers.
NY Giants (3-2) at Philadelphia (2-3), 8:30 p.m. ET (Monday, ESPN): I’m torn on this game because there’s a 50 percent chance that Chip Kelly won’t even be the Eagles coach by the time these two teams kick off on Monday night. OK, I don’t actually believe that, but I had to mention it because in 2013, after the Eagles hired Kelly, every football writer on the Internet agreed to mention Kelly as a possible coaching candidate for any big time college job that came open while he was coach of the Eagles.
If Chip doesn’t leave for USC (or USC), then I think he stays in Philly this week and watches film with Sam Bradford and explains to his quarterback that the Giants have the 32nd-ranked pass defense in the NFL. Basically, if Kelly can brainwash Bradford to not throw dumb interceptions like the two Bradford threw against the Saints, then I like the Eagles to roll. Eagles 30-23 over Giants.
Eagles fans clearly understand that building a team takes time. (Instagram/@marykatewill)
Week 6 revenge games
New England (4-0) at Indianapolis (3-2), 8:30 p.m. ET (NBC): After nine months of waiting, we finally get the Deflategate revenge game. Remember, Deflategate only started because Colts general manager Ryan Grigson told the NFL before the AFC title game to be on the lookout for deflated footballs.
I’m guessing Grigson did that because he realized the Colts had no chance in the game. Since Grigson’s taken over as Colts GM in 2012, Indy is 0-4 against the Patriots and the games haven’t even been close. Including the AFC title game, here’s the score of the last four Patriots-Colts games (All Colts losses): 45-7, 42-20, 43-22, 59-24.
Those losses are almost as ugly as Grigson’s recent track record, which is:
1. Started Deflategate.
2. Traded a first-round pick for Trent Richardson.
3. Can’t put together a team that can beat New England.
I don’t think things are going to get any better this week. I feel like Bill Belichick has been planning nightly for this game since Jan. 19, 2015, which is horrible news for the Colts because I’ve watched what the Patriots have done to teams this season when Belichick only has five days to game plan. I can only imagine what he can do with 270 days. I almost feel sorry for Indianapolis. Patriots 41-24 over Colts.
And I think Adam Vinatieri agrees with me.
Adam Vinatieri Expects Belichick & Patriots to Have “Hair on Fire”: http://t.co/0acXt9Ksha pic.twitter.com/DqdiazO3ck
— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) October 13, 2015
Baltimore (1-4) at San Francisco (1-4), 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS): In the Jim Harbaugh revenge game, you have to think that there’s at least a 14 percent chance that John Harbaugh let’s Jim coach the second half. If that happens, my prediction is 85-17. If that doesn’t happen, I think it will be a lot closer. No one knows more about the 49ers personnel than Jim Harbaugh, so it actually wouldn’t be a surprise at all to find out that Jim gives his brother a little help developing a game plan to win this game. One of these teams is going to be 1-5 after this week and Jim would probably really, really love it if that team ends up being the 49ers. Ravens 20-17 over 49ers
Arizona (4-1) at Pittsburgh (3-2), 1 p.m. ET (Fox): We all know that Bill Belichick would love to beat the Colts and that Jim Harbaugh would love to see his brother beat the 49ers, but the person with the biggest bone to pick with another team this week might be Cardinals coach Bruce Arians.
Back in 2012, the Steelers decided they didn’t want Arians anymore, but then they also decided they didn’t want anyone else to have him so they announced that he was retiring.
“Bruce Arians has informed me that he will retire from coaching,” Mike Tomlin said in a statement at the time. “I appreciate his efforts over the past five years as the team’s offensive coordinator and for helping lead our offense to new heights during his time with the Steelers.”
The problem with the statement is that Arians wasn’t retiring. Instead, he went to Indy and now he’s in Arizona and I’m guessing he’d like nothing more than to beat the Steelers really, really bad. It looks like revenge coaches are going to go a perfect 3-0 this week. Cardinals 30-20 over Steelers.
By the way, Arians will see a familiar sight from his days in Pittsburgh: The Terrible Towel. The famous yellow towels have come a long way since he was in Pittsburgh. Apparently, they’re not just for waving any more.
Winner of the “Most interesting use of a Terrible Towel” award tonight goes to (via http://t.co/6IAG6dswRL)#Steelers pic.twitter.com/FMwFwQph48
— John Breech (@johnbreech) October 13, 2015
Week 6 picks: All the rest
Falcons 31-24 over Saints
Jets 27-17 over Redskins
Texans 17-13 over Jaguars
Dolphins 24-17 over Titans (This is my first ever “Our coach just got fired and now we have an interim coach” pity pick of the week)
Bengals 23-20 over Bills (Reminder: This game is being played at 1 p.m. ET and involves Andy Dalton)
Byes: Cowboys, Raiders, Rams, Buccaneers
Last Week
Best Pick: Last week, I picked the Broncos to beat the Raiders by six and then the Broncos went out and beat the Raiders by six. It’s actually kind of ironic that the Broncos won by six because Raiders fans are blaming the Blue Angels for Derek Carr‘s pick-6 and there were six jets in their formation that flew over during a pivotal moment the fourth quarter.
Did an ill-timed 4th quarter flyover by the Blue Angels cost the Raiders the win on Sunday? http://t.co/wk447wd53o pic.twitter.com/UyDnw4qBxc
— John Breech (@johnbreech) October 12, 2015
Let’s be real though, blaming a loss on a Navy Squadron is such a Raiders thing to do.
@RAIDERS thanks blue Angels for flying over during an active play which led to a pick 6 ……..
— miguel angel pantoja (@elmp559) October 12, 2015
Telling the other team not to cheer is apparently also a Raiders thing to do.
Raiders fan is like, “You should probably put your hands down if you want to make it out of the black hole alive” https://t.co/ypALi3eD9H
— John Breech (@johnbreech) October 11, 2015
Worst Pick: If 10 years of watching Jay Cutler play football has taught me one thing, it’s that I don’t know anything about Jay Cutler. When I think he’ll zig, he zags. When I think he’ll zag, he zigs. When I pick him to win, he loses. When I pick him to lose — like I did last week — HE WINS. Not only did I get my pick wrong, but I also got Kristina Cavallari’s spinach-artichoke dip recipe wrong. It was an ugly week.
.@KristinCav‘s spinach-artichoke dip is the perfect companion to Monday Night Football: http://t.co/6hDbIrg5GH #MNF pic.twitter.com/zOP2l5ueuJ
— Us Weekly (@usweekly) October 5, 2015
My batch came out horrible and I’m holding it against Cutler. I’m picking against the Bears for the rest of the season.
Picks Record
Straight up in Week 5: 10-4
SU Overall: 45-32
Against the spread in Week 5: 7-7
ATS Overall: 34-43
Exact score predictions: 1
You can find John Breech on Twitter or on Facebook and if he’s not doing one of those two things, he’s probably fact checking Neil degrasse Tyson’s tweets.
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