Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction and Betting Odds. The 87-76 Houston Astros are set to take on the 95-67 Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri tonight October 8, 2015, first pitch is scheduled 7:37 PM
Betting Odds
Moneylines: Astros +127 / Royals -137
O/U: 7.5 runs
Pitching Match Up
Houston: Collin McHugh (19-7, 3.89 ERA)
Kansas City: Yordano Ventura (13-8, 4.00 ERA)
In their last games: The Astros beat the New York Yankees 4-0 in the AL Wild Card game and the Royals beat the Minnesota Twins 6-1.
The Astros head into Kansas City for the first game of the 5 game ALDS. The 19-7 Collin McHugh goes for the Astros and the 13-8 Yordano Ventura goes for the Royals. The Royals open at -137 with a line sitting at 7.5 runs. The Astros have won 4 of their last 5 games including their last one knocking out the Yankees of the playoffs in the AL Wild Card game in New York. Houston ranks 6th in the Majors in both runs scored and team ERA. The Royals had the best record in the AL this season and they ended the season winning 5 straight games. They rank 7th in runs scored and 11th in team ERA.
Houston at Kansas City Key Betting Trends
Houston is 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
The Astros are e 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Houston has an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 games following a win.
Kansas City is 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
The Royals is 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Kansas City has an Under record of 7-2 in their last 9 games.
Key Player Injuries
HOUSTON ASTROS
Samuel Deduno P 60-Day Disabled List
Scott Feldman P 60-Day Disabled List
Brad Peacock P 60-Day Disabled List
KANSAS CITY ROYALS
Tim Collins P 60-Day Disabled List
Brian Flynn P 60-Day Disabled List
Jason Vargas P 60-Day Disabled List
Consensus Pick (Moneyline)
Houston: 38%
Kansas City: 62%
Free MLB Pick
Collin McHugh ended the season pitching well and the Astros won 6 of their last 7 games with him getting the start. In his last outing he only gave up 1 earned run in 7 innings in a 6-2 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks. In 2 of his last 3 starts to the season he only gave up 1 earned run. The Astros are 13-3 in McHugh’s last 16 starts against a team with a winning record. The Royals have won 6 of their last 7 home games with Yordano Ventura on the hill and he had a great last start in the regular season going 7 innings, only giving up 1 earned run, and striking out 11 in a 5-1 win over the Minnesota Twins. However, one interesting trend is that the Royals are 0-4 in Ventura’s last 4 starts in game 1 of a series.
Both pitchers had a solid last outing and I have to go with the Astros in this one, as they are very confident after playing the Royals tonight this season and after their big Wild Card win in the Big Apple.
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