Fantasy Roundtable: Roundtable: 2016 Top Hitters
There’s not much more to touch on for 2015 — you’re either in a position to win a fantasy championship at this point or you’re not — so let’s begin looking ahead to 2016. Give me an early look at your top-10 position players for drafts next spring and a short writeup on each. I’ll go first …
3. Paul Goldschmidt, 1B, Diamondbacks
I think there’s a strong case to be made to push him to No. 1 at this point. Yes, he hits for average and power in a hitter-friendly stadium, but he also has a career-high 21 steals this year. At first base, that’s immensely valuable.
4. Andrew McCutchen, OF, Pirates
McCutchen has been great offensively since his early season struggles/physical issues. We haven’t seen him run much, but hopefully an offseason to refresh will change that.
5. Giancarlo Stanton, OF, Marlins
Was on a ridiculous home run pace before his broken hamate bone in June. It would be nice to get some peace of mind and see him play before the end of the season, but his power potential can’t be beat.
6. Josh Donaldson, 3B, Blue Jays
I was optimistic about a big season after moving from the Athletics to the Blue Jays, but he has exceeded all expectations and could win the American League MVP Award. He has a good chance of coming close in 2016 in that stadium and with that supporting cast.
7. Miguel Cabrera, 1B, Tigers
It’s easy to forget about this guy. When he’s healthy, he hits. It’s pretty simple. Advancing age and injury concern have taken him out of the top-five for me, but he’s still really, really good.
8. Nolan Arenado, 3B, Rockies
Shouldn’t need much explanation with this one. Hitting for average and power in the most hitter-friendly home ballpark in the game.
9. Anthony Rizzo, 1B, Cubs
Has shown that his 2014 wasn’t a fluke and has also brought some speed to the table. Just a bonus, I really like the Cubs’ lineup moving forward.
10. Manny Machado, 3B, Orioles
With all the great young talent in the game, it feels like Machado is getting overlooked right now. He just edged out Carlos Correa with me.
Matthew Pouliot …
1. Mike Trout, OF, Angels
He’s not going to finish at the top of the heap this year, but he’s still the safest No. 1 choice. The Angels just need to do a better job of surrounding him next season.
2. Bryce Harper, OF, Nationals
He offers the most pure upside of anyone now, but he’s the second biggest injury risk (after Troy Tulowitzki) of any of the candidates for a spot on this list.
3. Paul Goldschmidt, 1B, Diamondbacks
I don’t see how it’ll make sense for him to continue attempting 20-30 steals per year, and once that stops, he’s not going to be head and shoulders above the rest of the top first basemen. Still, he’s an obvious top-three guy for now.
4. Giancarlo Stanton, OF, Marlins
This makes four straight years in which Stanton has failed to put in a full season, but I still don’t really tag him as injury prone. I certainly wouldn’t let him fall any farther than this next year.
5. Miguel Cabrera, 1B, Tigers
I don’t think I’ll change my mind on any of the top four prior to Opening Day 2016, but the rest of my list is definitely written in pencil. Cabrera has been just about as good as ever this year, and it’s the first time he’s been hurt in his career.
6. Nolan Arenado, 3B, Rockies
I thought Arenado would challenge for the batting title, not make a run at 40 homers. He still might do the former next year.
7. Carlos Correa, SS, Astros
Tulowitzki probably still has a bit more upside than a 21-year-old Correa, but Correa seems like the much better bet to play in 140-150 games next season.
8. Anthony Rizzo, 1B, Cubs
I didn’t think the supporting cast would be strong enough to make Rizzo worthy of a first-round pick this year. However, the players around him are getting better by the day.
9. Andrew McCutchen, OF, Pirates
He’s about as safe as picks come, and at least next year, he’ll probably be there in the second half of round one in many drafts, instead of going in the first half.
10. Jose Altuve, 2B, Astros
Altuve has stepped up the home runs this year, hitting 11 to go with his 36 steals and .315 average. It’s tempting to go with one of the third basemen here (Donaldson, Machado), but second base looks like a much weaker position right now, giving Altuve a boost.
Ryan Boyer …
1. Mike Trout, OF, Angels
The stolen base total hasn’t bounced back this season as hoped, but Trout remains the best combination of high ceiling and high floor you want with the top pick.
2. Paul Goldschmidt, 1B, Diamondbacks
I don’t know how long he’s going to keep running as much as he has, but right now Goldschmidt certainly looks like a better bet for steals than Trout. They’re 1A and 1B for me.
3. Bryce Harper, OF, Nationals
He’s going to be a monster for a long, long time. The steals have dried up the last two seasons and this is going to be the first time he’s played 140 games. For those reasons, he’s a notch below the top two.
4. Andrew McCutchen, OF, Pirates
McCutchen was dogged by a nagging knee injury for much of the first half. I expect the steals to return after he’s had time over the winter to fully heal.
5. Miguel Cabrera, 1B, Tigers
A decline will come at some point, but Cabrera is putting up an OPS over 1.000 in his age-32 season.
6. Josh Donaldson, 3B, Blue Jays
He’s been the best hitter in fantasyland in his first year in Toronto. The supporting cast around him will all be back in 2016, and they’ll (hopefully) have Troy Tulowitzki for a full season.
7. Giancarlo Stanton, OF, Marlins
He’s had another injury-shortened season, but that 50-homer campaign is coming at some point. Perhaps it will be in 2016 with Miami talking about moving the fences in at Marlins Park.
Machado has broken out as a five-category beast this season. He won’t turn 24 until just before next year’s All-Star break.
His power has exploded this season, and his high contact rate suggests he might have more in the tank from a batting average perspective.
I wouldn’t count on the stolen bases again (he’s had just one in his last 40 games), but Rizzo keeps getting better and better as a hitter and the lineup around him figures to keep growing as well.
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