August 3 MLB DFS: Liriano Is Today's Top Pitcher – SportsGrid
August 3 MLB DFS Picks and Analysis
It’s another exciting night in MLB DFS as both DraftKings and FanDuel are offering six figure prize pools! Drew Dinkmeyer of the DailyRoto Daily Fantasy Rundown shares some picks and analysis to help get you started with your lineups.
Francisco Liriano (PIT) – The Cubs profile as a solid offense against LHP but one that is very strikeout prone. This season they rank 16th in wRC+ against LHP and have struck out in 22.9 percent of their plate appearances against lefties. With Kris Bryant’s availability in question, the lineup will likely be without Bryant and Schwarber. Liriano has been exceptional this season with the most significant improvement coming in his command. After posting a BB Rate above 10% in his first two seasons with the Pirates, he’s cut it to 8.4 percent this season. He’s always had elite strikeout rates and above average GB Rates so adding in league average control has really helped in the run prevention category (2.92 ERA). Liriano is a slight favorite (-130) in the lowest total (6.5) game of the evening and our model projects him for the highest K Rate by a wide margin (31 percent, next highest is Lester at 28%). Lowest implied run total against and highest projected K Rate are always a good combination and it places Liriano in his own tier on Monday.
Kyle Seager (SEA) – Seager is our top option at third base and a Top Five overall hitter in our model. Mariners’ hitters are the focus of our recommendations today as they get the big park shift from Seattle to Coors Field. Seager is among the best Mariners hitters against RHP. He’s compiled a .349 wOBA and .180 ISO against RHP since 2012 and he comes with an elite lineup spot. He’s also made strides against LHP (.362 wOBA, .202 ISO in 120 PA this season) which holds his value deep into the game. Even on sites that have adjusted his price tag up for the park shift, we feel he’s a compelling option and one of our top targets to spend on given the lack of depth at third base on Monday.
Like what you see? We go way more in-depth at DailyRoto.com, with advice from Drew Dinkmeyer, Mike Leone, and others, that produced three Millionaire Maker winners in 2014
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