NFL picks against the spread, Week 13: Mixing in road favorites and underdogs – SB Nation
I’m back with my Week 13 NFL picks against the spread. It’s time to slow this backslide!
Welcome back for another round of my SuperContest picks, as we enter the time of the year when it might be wise to start fading me. Last week I had my worst performance of the year, going 1-4. That has dropped me to .500, with a 30-30 record in the Westgate SuperContest. I have slipped to the bottom half of the standings, and have started this week on a sour note thanks to the Dallas Cowboys getting pounded by the Philadelphia Eagles.
The SuperContest includes more than 1,400 participants picking games each week to see who can come out on top by the end of the season. As always, our partners at OddsShark have staked me and a handful of other participants in the SuperContest. You can track all of us here, and you can follow the standings here.
Here are my picks for Week 13, with home teams in caps.
DALLAS COWBOYS (-3) over Philadelphia Eagles: Yeah, so about that … Whoops.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-9.5) over Washington: The spread is a bit high, but I am fine picking against Colt McCoy on the road. I probably would have also picked against Robert Griffin III on the road, but he has since been benched. The Colts are 7-2 against the spread in their last nine games, while Washington is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games. I just don’t think this Washington defense has a prayer of containing Andrew Luck and the Colts offense.
Cleveland Browns (+2.5) over BUFFALO BILLS: The Browns are playing some really solid football this season, and they seem to do some of their best work as underdogs. This marks their third game in 2014 as a road underdog, and they covered the spread in the previous three against Pittsburgh, Cincinnati and Atlanta. The Bills are coming off a big neutral site win over the Miami Dolphins, but I think we see the surging Browns emerge with the cover.
ST. LOUIS RAMS (-6.5) over Oakland Raiders: The Raiders are coming off their first win of the season, a Thursday Night Football upset of the Kansas City Chiefs. Consider this a pick based on a likely letdown for the Raiders. They are actually 4-1 ATS in their last five road games, but coming off such an emotional win, I just think they are due to slip. It is purely a psychological pick, which probably means it is worth fading me.
Arizona Cardinals (-2.5) over ATLANTA FALCONS: The Cardinals are coming off only their second loss of the season, and third against the spread. They head to Atlanta to face a Falcons team that is playing some horrible football, and yet somehow leads the NFC South. The Falcons are 4-7 SU and ATS, but are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games. They have won five straight against the Cardinals, but this year’s Cardinals team is a little bit different than those previous versions. Even with Drew Stanton at the helm.
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