Gambling! NBA Season Win Total Best Bets – Houston Press (blog)

The 2013-2014 wagering year was a strange one for me, personally.

By the way, for your information, the “wagering year” is defined as the last week of August (early season college football bets, season win total and futures bets in college and NFL) through late June (NBA Finals, the occasional Tiger Woods wager back in the day). July and August are the “wagering offseason” (baseball, soccer, and the occasional awards show — yeah, you heard me! Don’t judge!).

So back to 2013-2014. In football wagering last season, I was a mess, barely cracking the 40 percent mark in my NFL and college football Best Bets I posted here, to the point where I created a a quasi-Mendoza Line benchmark for negativity called the Pendergast Line. Yeah, it was BAD.

However, go look at my NBA season win total picks for last season. Go ahead, look at them! No, I implore you, LOOK AT THEM!

I was a goddamn BEAST!!

Yeah, you’re reading those numbers correctly. Who has two thumbs and went 21-7-2 on his season win total picks? THIS GUY (pointing at myself like a total smug douche bag)!!

(Point of information: Who has two thumbs and only fired actual money on the Denver UNDER and Rockets OVER picks, meaning I essentially netted out losing one bet’s worth of juice? This guy [pointing two middle fingers at myself, totally self-loathing]…)

Furthermore, of the seven that I missed, five of them were on teams that were off the posted total by less than three games (three of those were within one game!). Of the teams who were nine games or more off of their posted totals (In other words, teams where in retrospect, there was HUGE value), I went 9-1 picking them! When it comes to these NBA season win totals, I can sniff out value, baby!

(The only outlier last season was Phoenix, who won 28.5 games more than their posted total of 19.5, and I took them UNDER 19.5. Hey, I’m still a partial idiot. Always will be.)

So let’s get down to business, here are my five favorite posted win totals, and then I’ll give my rapid fire picks on the rest of them…

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