NFL Week 7 picks: Read this before making yours – Washington Post (blog)
NFL Week 7 is upon us. Here’s everything you need to know while you’re making your against-the-spread picks this weekend, whether if you’re in Las Vegas or making friendly, non-monetary-based wagers with your co-workers in totally legal pools. Point spreads taken from the consensus odds at Vegas Insider.
[Related: Fancy Stats blogger Neil Greenberg makes his Week 7 ATS picks.]
New England (-9.5) vs. New York Jets
Thursday, 8:25 p.m. (CBS, NFL Network)
Weather: Rain, low 60s.
Tom Brady is 6-0 in Thursday games and has won 18 consecutive home divisional contests, each at least tied for best mark in NFL history.
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) October 16, 2014
Baltimore (-7) vs. Atlanta
Sunday, 1 p.m. (Fox)
Weather: Sunny, mid 50s.
Since 2008, when Joe Flacco became the starter, the #Ravens as home favorites of 7 points or more are 9-13-1 (41% ATS). vs #Falcons — Cole Ryan (@ColeRyan9) October 15, 2014
Buffalo (-5.5) vs. Minnesota
Sunday, 1 p.m. (Fox)
Weather: Partly cloudy, mid 40s.
According to Covers.com, the Bills are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight-up loss. The Vikings are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight-up loss.
Chicago (-3) vs. Miami
Sunday, 1 p.m. (CBS)
Weather: Partly cloudy, mid 50s.
When MIAMI DOLPHINS an Underdog – Lost Last Game by 3 Points or Less – With SU Record of 1 Win 2 Lost in L3G: Dolphins are 10-1-0 ATS
— ATS STATS (@ATSstats) October 15, 2014
Detroit (-3) vs. New Orleans
Sunday, 1 p.m. (Fox)
Weather: Dome.
#NFL = Drew Brees/NO #Saints is 20-1 SU/20-1 ATS in career under Sean Payton in games after UNDER 80.0 Rating / currently +2.5 @ DET #Lions — GiL (@GiLmo574) October 13, 2014
(Note: Line has moved up since this tweet)
Green Bay (-7) vs. Carolina
Sunday, 1 p.m. (Fox)
Weather: Mostly cloudy, high 40s
Since 2008 the #Packers as home favorites of 7 or more points are 17-11-1 (61% ATS). Currently -7 point favorites over the #Panthers
— Cole Ryan (@ColeRyan9) October 15, 2014
Indianapolis (-3) vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, 1 p.m. (CBS)
Weather: If roof stays open, it’ll be sunny, low 50s
All-time, teams that tied the previous week and are on the road are 9-12 (43% ATS) #Bengals http://t.co/sha0GnrdAw — Predicteform.com (@predicteform) October 15, 2014
Jacksonville (+5.5) vs. Cleveland
Sunday, 1 p.m. (CBS)
Weather: Sunny, mid 70s
#Browns are -4 this week at #Jaguars. CLE is 7-2 ATS as a road fave since 2003 and hasn’t been above -3 on the road since 1995 at JAX.
— Bet Labs Software (@Bet_Labs) October 13, 2014
(Note: spread has risen since this tweet.)
St. Louis (+7) vs. Seattle
Sunday, 1 p.m. (Fox)
Weather: Dome. As of Thursday morning, only 6 percent of the betting public is taking the Rams and the points. Per SportsInsights.com, that would be the lowest percentage of spread bets on one team in a game since 2003. On Oct. 27, 2003, only 8 percent took the Chargers as six-point underdogs against the Dolphins, and on Nov. 23, 2003, only 8 percent took the Falcons +7 against the Titans. The Rams-Seahawks line has barely budged all week, however, an indication that the sharp money may be on the home underdog, who are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine home games against a team with a winning record and 5-0 ATS in their last five games coming off a double-digit loss.
Washington (-5.5) vs. Tennessee
Sunday, 1 p.m. (CBS)
Weather: Sunny, mid 50s.
Per gambling writer Rob Pizzola, the 12 under-.500 NFL teams are a combined 4-18 ATS as favorites this season. The Redskins, as you may have heard, are under .500.
San Diego (-4) vs. Kansas City
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. (CBS)
Weather: Sunny, mid 70s
Andy Reid is 16-2 SU and 13-5 ATS when his team is playing w/rest #Chiefs — Jeff Grant (@JeffGrantSports) October 15, 2014
Dallas (-6.5) vs. New York Giants
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. (Fox)
Weather: Dome.
Since 2005, the Tony Romo era, the #Cowboys against the Giants are 7-12 (37% ATS) http://t.co/sha0GnrdAw
— Predicteform.com (@predicteform) October 15, 2014
Oakland (+3.5) vs. Arizona
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. (Fox)
Weather: Sunny, high 60s
Per Covers.com, the Cardinals are 10-1 in the last 11 games vs. a team with a losing record.
Denver (-6.5) vs. San Francisco
Sunday, 8:30 p.m. (NBC)
Weather: Clear, high 50s
#NFL = teams playing back-to-back Primetime (SNF/MNF) games are 4-19 ATS L23 situations / SF #49ers in situation next week @ DEN #Broncos — GiL (@GiLmo574) October 13, 2014
Pittsburgh (-3.5) vs. Houston
Monday, 8:30 p.m. (ESPN)
Weather: Chance of rain, high 40s
Pittsburgh #Steelers are 13-0 ATS at home off a SUATS division loss in which they allowed 30-plus points
— Jeff Grant (@JeffGrantSports) October 15, 2014
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